虎嗅

AI is taking away jobs; where do workers go from here? – A conversation with Silicon Valley investor and Yidao Car Service founder Zhou Hang

原文:AI正在抢走饭碗,打工人的出路在哪儿?——对话硅谷投资人、易到用车创始人周航

Summary of Key Points

This conversation is with Zhou Hang, a serial cross-industry entrepreneur (founder of Yidao Chuyong and an AI investor in Silicon Valley), focusing on the most pressing issues of transformation for professionals in the AI era. Drawing from his own experiences transitioning from traditional electronics trading to online car-hailing services and then to AI investment, Zhou Hang shares a series of counterintuitive insights: how to navigate the job market during the AI-driven layoffs, the survival challenges for programmers, hidden opportunities in traditional industries, the low-cost logic of AI entrepreneurship, and the potential risks for those who are currently thriving. His goal is to help anxious professionals find their direction.

1. In the Age of AI Layoffs, Professionals Need to Find Value That AI Cannot Take Away

Technology companies have laid off 160,000 people in half a year, and many fear being replaced by AI. However, Zhou Hang believes that the solution is not to change jobs but to find tasks that AI cannot perform. While AI can process data, write reports, and even handle basic design, it lacks human qualities such as empathy (e.g., understanding unspoken customer concerns), strategic judgment (e.g., deciding whether a company should transform based on industry experience and market trends), and the ability to innovate (e.g., coming up with unique business models). Professionals should shift from doing mundane tasks to becoming leaders in human-machine collaboration, using AI for repetitive work and focusing on tasks that require creativity and deep thinking.

2. Only 10% of Programmers Will Survive? Those Who Can’t Solve Complex Problems

Why will only 10% of programmers remain? Zhou Hang explains that while AI can write 80% of the basic code, it struggles with complex issues. For example, AI can create a website framework but cannot design the entire system architecture (which requires business understanding, security knowledge, and scalability considerations). It can fix simple bugs but not identify hidden problems in large projects (which requires experience), nor can it translate vague customer requirements into clear instructions that AI can understand (a crucial skill in the AI era). The remaining 10% of programmers will be those who can guide AI to complete tasks, rather than being mere code workers controlled by AI.

3. Are Traditional Industries the Golden Chance for Transformation? Because AI Hasn’t Yet Fully Explored Them

Many think that AI opportunities lie in Silicon Valley or the internet industry, but Zhou Hang believes that traditional industries are the real untapped markets for AI transformation. For instance, a restaurant can use AI to analyze customer ordering data and optimize its menu (e.g., by offering more spicy dishes since young people prefer them), or use it to schedule staff more efficiently. In agriculture, AI can monitor soil moisture and predict pests more accurately than humans. In home services, AI can match customers with the right providers (e.g., a nanny who speaks English). These industries have largely avoided technology; with AI, costs decrease, revenues increase, and competition is less intense. Ordinary people can find opportunities by applying AI tools to their familiar fields.

4. Do You Need Financing for Entrepreneurship in the AI Era? Because Costs Have Been Drastically Reduced by AI

In the past, starting a business required renting offices, hiring teams, and purchasing equipment, often costing millions. But now, AI tools can handle 80% of the work:

  • Writing copywriting? Use ChatGPT.
  • Designing? Use Midjourney.
  • Coding? Use GitHub Copilot.
  • Providing customer service? Use AI chatbots.

For example, a person can start a small e-commerce business with minimal investment—using AI to select products, write descriptions, and create promotional materials for just a few thousand dollars. This reduces the risk of burning through capital.

5. Those Who Are Currently Successful Are Most Vulnerable? Because They Haven’t Learned to Adapt

Zhou Hang argues that those who have never experienced failure are more likely to struggle in the AI era. Why? Because they are accustomed to following established procedures and panic when faced with change. For instance, someone successful in a traditional industry may resist learning new AI tools, thinking their old methods are sufficient. However, as customers start using AI for orders, they may fall behind. Those who have experienced failure know how to adapt—like Zhou Hang, who has constantly crossed industries and had to learn new skills each time. Professionals should actively seek out challenging tasks (e.g., learning AI tools or exploring new fields) to build their adaptability. Otherwise, what was once a advantage can become a disadvantage in the face of AI.

The core message is that AI is not an enemy but a tool. Professionals should use it to enhance their capabilities, rather than letting it replace them. Whether transforming their careers or starting a business, they need to shift from focusing on what they know to considering what AI can do for them, in order to thrive in the AI era.