虎嗅

The wind power that's selling like hotcakes overseas—is it still considered "junk power" nowadays?

原文:出海卖爆的风电,现在还是“垃圾电”吗?

Summary of Key Points

In 2026, the explosive growth of AI data centers has led to a massive demand for electricity. Coupled with the tensions created by Trump in the Strait of Hormuz (which threaten the stability of global energy supply), the global energy system is under dual pressure. The main question on everyone's mind is: Can China's wind power become a reliable option to fill the electricity gap and address energy uncertainties?

Detailed Analysis

1. AI Data Centers: Why the Energy “Guzzlers”?

AI data centers are no ordinary computer rooms; they need to continuously compute and train AI models 24/7, consuming an astonishing amount of electricity. A super-large AI data center can consume billions of kilowatt-hours of electricity per year, which is roughly equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of a county with a population of 500,000. With the AI industry experiencing explosive growth in 2026, the number of such data centers has surged, pushing global electricity demand to new levels. More importantly, AI data centers have extremely high requirements for power stability: a power outage could result in the loss of all progress made during model training, necessitating a “continuous” power supply. This adds another layer of pressure to an already strained energy system.

2. The Strait of Hormuz: A Critical Energy Supply Route Under Threat?

The Strait of Hormuz is a vital route for global oil transportation, with over 30% of the world’s seaborne crude oil passing through it. Any disruptions caused by Trump (such as blocking the strait or provoking conflicts) would make oil transportation unsafe and unstable. Oil prices would soar, and since many countries rely on fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) for power generation, the increase in oil prices would drive up energy costs. This could lead to a situation where there is money available to buy oil but not enough electricity to produce it, creating a real crisis for the global energy market.

3. China's Wind Power: From an Unreliable Option to a Reliable Solution?

In the past, wind power was considered unreliable: there was too much electricity during strong winds, which couldn’t be used all, and not enough during weak winds, plus the cost was high. However, wind power has evolved significantly:

  • Technological Advances: Wind turbines have become larger, with offshore blades exceeding 100 meters in length (longer than the wingspan of a Boeing 737), and the capacity of individual turbines has increased to over 10 MW, significantly improving efficiency.
  • Stabilization of Output: Advanced energy storage technologies (such as lithium batteries and pumped storage) have been developed, allowing electricity to be stored during strong winds and released during weak winds, reducing the rate of wasted energy from 15% to less than 5%.
  • Cost Reduction: The cost of wind power per kilowatt-hour has become comparable to, or even lower than, that of fossil fuels, making it more economically viable.

4. Can Wind Power Fill the Gap?

Advantages: Wind power is a renewable energy source that is not affected by international oil prices. China is rich in wind energy resources (the Gobi Desert in the northwest and coastal areas are ideal for wind farms), providing a domestically controllable energy source. Additionally, wind power has low carbon emissions, aligning with the goals of reducing carbon emissions.

Challenges: The distribution of wind power does not match electricity demand; wind-rich areas (northwest, offshore) are far from major energy-consuming regions in the east, requiring the construction of long-distance high-voltage transmission lines. Although energy storage costs have decreased, further optimization is needed for large-scale applications. Extreme weather conditions (no wind, typhoons) can also affect power supply, so wind power needs to be used in conjunction with other sources (solar, fossil fuels).

Conclusion

China’s wind power has evolved from a secondary energy source to a key player in addressing the energy challenges of the AI era and the tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. However, to fully fill the electricity gap, China still needs to improve energy storage and grid infrastructure to make wind power more stable and efficient.