虎嗅

Artificial intelligence is changing the career trajectories of older employees.

原文:人工智能正在改变年长员工的职业轨迹

Summary of Key Points

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping the entire career lifecycle of individuals: It not only threatens the elimination of entry-level positions for young people but also has a dual impact on older employees over the age of 50. On one hand, they may face the risk of being replaced or the pressure to adapt, leading to early retirement; on the other hand, they can utilize AI tools to enhance their efficiency and potentially extend their careers. AI has also changed the nature of the competition between generations, shifting from a focus on age to a competition based on a combination of experience and AI capabilities, and has sparked the issue of technological age discrimination. To address these challenges, companies need to adopt a human-centered approach to collaboration with AI, while society must adjust its social security systems to accommodate the changes in the workplace brought about by AI.

The Dual Fate of Older Employees: Is AI a “Pusher to Retirement” or a “Life Extender”?

The impact of AI on older employees is not solely about unemployment; rather, it presents two contrasting pathways:

  • Path to Retirement:
  • Passive Replacement: AI takes over certain tasks (such as basic data processing for accountants or simple coding for programmers), leading to the reduction of these positions or increased demands for digital skills, resulting in job loss for older employees.
  • Proactive Adaptation: Older employees may find the cost of learning AI too high (for example, a 55-year-old designer having to re-learn AI drawing tools) or perceive limited career prospects, prompting them to choose early retirement.
  • Path to Extended Career: AI can serve as a capacity enhancer: For instance, doctors can use AI to draft medical reports, and lawyers can use it to research legal regulations, allowing them to focus on more valuable tasks and potentially work for longer.

The outcome depends on how companies utilize AI as either a replacement or a supportive tool.

AI Reconstructs the Career Lifecycle: Both Ends Are Affected, and the Nature of Generational Competition Has Changed

AI influences every stage of a career, from entry to retirement:

  • For Young People: Entry-level positions are disappearing (such as document sorting for administrative assistants and basic customer service tasks), making it harder to find their first job.
  • For Older People: The continuity of their careers is challenged (for example, the turnover rate is higher in industries heavily impacted by AI).
  • Reversed Generational Competition: The competition is no longer between young and old, but between those who combine experience with AI skills. Young people may quickly learn AI tools but lack industry-specific experience; older workers, although slower to learn, possess valuable tacit knowledge (for example, experienced engineers can quickly identify flaws in AI-generated code).

Which Occupations Are Most Vulnerable to AI? The Surprising “AI Exposure Levels”

AI affects not entire occupations but specific tasks within them. Three indicators measure the AI exposure level of a job:

1. The proportion of tasks that can be completed more efficiently with LLMs (like ChatGPT).

2. The proportion of tasks suitable for machine learning.

3. The proportion of human abilities that AI can emulate.

Surprising Findings:

  • Highly Affected Occupations: White-collar jobs (programmers, designers, data scientists) are affected because AI excels at handling language, data, and symbolic tasks.
  • Lowly Affected Occupations: Blue-collar jobs (miners, caregivers, painters) require physical labor, interpersonal interaction, or situational judgment (which AI cannot perform).

Contrary to expectations, it is white-collar jobs that are being impacted first by AI.

Technological Age Discrimination: A More Fearful Prejudice than AI Itself

The risks associated with AI extend beyond job replacement to societal stereotypes about older people, leading to technological age discrimination:

  • Training Bias: Companies believe it is more cost-effective to train young employees in AI, neglecting older workers, creating a vicious cycle where they become even less capable of using AI.
  • Ability Bias: There is a misconception that older people are inherently unable to use AI, ignoring their valuable experience (for example, a 55-year-old doctor using AI to interpret CT scans can make more accurate diagnoses than a younger one).
  • Retention Bias: AI algorithms may unfairly penalize older employees in evaluations, leading to their dismissal or exclusion from key projects.

This bias can result in the loss of valuable expertise (such as that of older workers) and increase concerns among young people about being replaced in the future, potentially reducing their loyalty.

What Should Companies and Society Do? A People-Centered Approach Is Key

  • Company-Level Actions:
  • View AI as a “Co-pilot”: Recognize AI as a supportive tool, not a replacement. When evaluating employees, focus on critical thinking and interpersonal skills, not just the quantity of work completed by AI.
  • Empower Employees: Allow flexibility in using AI, enabling teams to choose the best approach (some older employees may use AI for organizing tasks, while others prefer traditional methods).
  • Cross-Generational Training: Promote mutual learning between young and older employees, with each teaching the other.
  • Alleviate Fears: Explain that the use of AI is intended to enhance their work, not to replace them.
  • Social-Level Actions:
  • Reform Social Security: Retirement age should not be determined by age alone but should consider the degree to which a job is affected by AI. Provide lifelong learning support for employees.
  • Anti-Discrimination Policies: Enforce laws that prevent companies from discriminating against older workers based on their technical abilities, ensuring their access to training and employment opportunities.

The core challenge of the AI era is to redesign the career lifecycle so that those willing and able to work can continue to create value, while those affected by technology receive the necessary support.

This article highlights that AI is not just about replacing humans with machines but about reorganizing the structure of careers. Both individuals and society must adapt to these changes to find their place in the AI-driven world.