第一财经

How to distribute the profits from AI-related cycles? Labor-management conflicts are intensifying in South Korea's chip, automotive, and shipbuilding industries.

原文:AI周期利润怎么分?韩国芯片、汽车、造船业劳资博弈加剧

Summary of Key Points

SK Hynix has been in preliminary salary negotiations with its union for two months. The proposed agreement was rejected by the employees by a narrow margin (just 25 more votes against) due to a decrease in the cash portion of the bonus and an increase in the stock portion. This incident reflects the intense labor-management conflicts occurring in Korean companies this year. In industries with improving profitability, such as semiconductors, automobiles, and shipbuilding, employees are demanding a share of the profits. However, companies' adjustments to the bonus structure (e.g., switching from cash to stocks) have raised concerns about potential risks, leading to a tug-of-war over how the profits should be distributed.

Detailed Analysis

1. The Key Reason for the Rejection of the Agreement

The core issue of the disagreement was the method of paying profit bonuses: Last year, 80% of the bonuses were in cash (received immediately), and 20% were paid in installments with interest. The new proposal would distribute 40% in cash and 60% in stocks (20% of the stock bonus would be sold in the future). Why did the employees oppose it?

  • Stock bonuses are not as certain to generate income: Employees would only receive the money if the stock price is favorable at the time of sale. However, SK Hynix' stock price has been highly volatile this year, rising to a peak of 2.987 million won per share in June and falling to a low of 1.5 million won in August, nearly halving in value. If employees receive stocks and the price drops later, their bonus would be lost.
  • The narrow voting margin (25 votes) indicates that the employees had no issue with the 6.3% salary increase itself but had significant concerns about the risks associated with the stock portion of the bonus.

2. Volatile Stock Prices Creating Uncertainty

SK Hynix' stock price fluctuations have left employees unsure about the value of their stock bonuses:

  • In the first half of the year, due to demand for AI-related products (HBM memory), the stock price soared from 1.4-1.5 million won to a record high of 2.987 million won.
  • After July, the stock price plummeted after the company's ADR (American Depositary Receipt) was listed, and although the second-quarter financial results were higher than expected, the stock price still fell to 1.6 million won.
  • The price dropped to a low of 1.5 million won in August before rebounding after the company announced a 40 trillion won share repurchase plan.

These dramatic fluctuations make stock bonuses seem less reliable than cash bonuses.

3. Collective Labor Negotiations in Korean Companies

SK Hynix is not the only company facing such issues. This year, labor negotiations are happening in other profitable Korean industries:

  • Samsung Electronics: Nearly went on strike in May but eventually agreed to a 6.2% salary increase and a 10.5% bonus based on profits for the semiconductor division.
  • Hyundai Motor: Went on an 8-hour strike in August and reached an agreement after overnight negotiations.
  • HD Hyundai Heavy Industries: In the shipbuilding industry, the union is demanding profit dividends comparable to those in the semiconductor sector and is considering a strike.

The underlying issue is that these industries have made substantial profits this year, and employees believe they deserve a larger share of the benefits.

4. The Underlying Struggles: Divisions over Profit Distribution and Cost Concerns

The underlying conflict in these labor negotiations is:

  • Employees' demands: Profits from industries like AI and high-end manufacturing should be shared more equitably with the workers, not solely benefiting companies and shareholders.
  • Companies' Perspectives: They want to use stock bonuses to tie employees to the company's success and reduce cash expenditures, but they overlook employees' concerns about stock price risks.
  • Long-term Implications: If companies are forced to continuously increase salaries and bonuses, it could lead to higher costs, potentially reducing the competitiveness of Korean manufacturing (e.g., through higher product prices or factory relocation) and affecting supply chain stability.

In Summary

Employees want a stable source of income and a fair share of the company's profits, while companies are trying to reduce costs and retain employees. This conflict is widespread in Korea's high-end manufacturing industries, representing a broader challenge in profit distribution.