虎嗅

"Major Changes in Home Buying? The Fundamental Logic of the Real Estate Market Is About to Change?"

原文:买房重大变化?房地产的底层逻辑变天了

Summary of Key Changes in the New Real Estate Policy

The key change in this new real estate policy is that when purchasing pre-sale properties, banks will no longer disburse loans to developers as early as before. Instead, they will wait until the building is completed and officially registered before approving the loan. This directly addresses the issue of buyers paying a down payment but not receiving the property, significantly reducing the risk of encountering unfinished buildings. At the same time, it also poses new challenges for developers in terms of cash flow management.

Detailed Analysis of the Changes

1. What exactly has changed in the new policy, and how does it differ from the past?

Previously, the process for purchasing pre-sale properties was as follows: the developer would start construction and sell the property as soon as they obtained the pre-sale permit; you would pay the down payment, and the bank would directly transfer the loan to the developer, who would use the funds to continue building the building. The problem was that developers might use the money for other purposes (such as acquiring new land) or experience financial difficulties, leading to unfinished buildings. As a result, you would have paid the down payment and still have to repay the loan, without receiving the property.

The new policy requires that the building must be completed (with the main structure finished and the framework visible) or officially registered (fully constructed and approved by the government) before the bank approves the loan. This means that the timing of loan disbursement is significantly delayed—developers must almost finish the building before they can receive the funds.

2. For buyers: No more fear of losing both the money and the property

This is the most immediate benefit of the new policy. In the past, even if you paid the down payment and the loan was approved, the building could still be unfinished, leaving you with the monthly mortgage payments without a property to live in. With the new policy, the loan is disbursed only after the building is completed or approved, providing greater assurance that you will receive the property.

3. For developers: Increased financial pressure, especially for smaller firms

Developers will face greater financial challenges. Previously, they could quickly obtain loans for each property sold, allowing for rapid capital turnover to build new buildings or acquire new land. Now, they must cover the costs of completing the building themselves before receiving the loan, which requires more own capital. Smaller, less financially strong developers may struggle to afford this, either delaying construction or being forced out of the market. Larger, more established developers, on the other hand, may take advantage of the situation to gain market share, leading to a faster consolidation of the industry.

4. Can the new policy completely eliminate unfinished buildings?

While the new policy can significantly reduce the number of unfinished buildings, it cannot completely eliminate the issue. For example, if developers still divert their own funds or run out of money after the building is completed, the building could still be unfinished. However, this is a significant step forward, as it prevents developers from receiving payment and leaving the project halfway. To completely solve the problem, additional measures are needed, such as stricter supervision of developers' funds (ensuring that sales proceeds are used solely for the construction of the building) and government support for unfinished projects.

5. Impact on the real estate market: Stable supply in the short term, healthier in the long term

In the short term, developers may slow down the release of new properties due to financial pressure, potentially reducing the supply of new homes. In the long run, however, buyers will feel more confident, as they are less at risk of losing their investment. Developers will be more focused on completing projects on time, shifting the industry from a focus on growth speed to quality and stability.

Overall, this new policy strengthens the protections for homebuyers and encourages more responsible behavior from developers, which is beneficial for the long-term health of the real estate market. For smaller developers, it represents a critical test of their viability.