虎嗅

Cook steps down, leaving the fate of Apple in his hands

原文:库克退场,把苹果的命运交给了他

Summary of Key Points

After a 15-year tenure, Tim Cook stepped down as Apple's CEO, and John Tuens, the head of hardware engineering, took over. Although Cook has been criticized for a lack of innovation, he has proven himself with revenue growth from $108 billion to $416 billion and a market value increase from $350 billion to $4 trillion. He transformed Apple into the most profitable consumer electronics empire by optimizing the supply chain, developing its own chips, expanding the software and hardware ecosystem, and enhancing shareholder returns. However, Apple's current challenge is the absence of a disruptive product like the iPhone that can "change the world." Tuens, a veteran with a deep understanding of hardware and products, is tasked with finding this solution while also addressing issues such as Apple's lagging AI capabilities.

Cook's "Non-Jobsian" Success: Not an Innovator, but a Top-Notch "Manager"

Many initially viewed Cook as a mere financial manager focused on managing the supply chain, lacking the innovative genius of Steve Jobs. Yet, over 15 years, he has created a profit-making machine:

  • Mastering the Supply Chain: He identified the most cost-effective production locations globally (such as assembly in China) to control costs and ensure stable supply, enabling mass production without shortages.
  • Breaking Free from Chip Dependence: He replaced Intel chips with Apple's own Apple Silicon, improving performance and energy efficiency, reducing reliance on others.
  • Locking In Users with an Ecosystem: The seamless integration of iPhone, Mac, AirPods, and Apple Watch (e.g., direct photo transfer from phone to computer) makes it difficult for users to switch to other brands.
  • Thrilling Shareholders: Apple uses its profits to buy back shares and distribute dividends; Berkshire Hathaway has made a $150 billion profit from Apple stocks, and Buffett has publicly praised Cook.

Cook may not have become the second Steve Jobs, but he has turned Jobs' products into a stable, profitable business empire.

Apple's "Sweet Crisis": Profiting Well, but Lacking the Next "iPhone"

Apple's performance is strong (the latest quarter saw record results), but there are hidden issues:

  • Existing Products are Extensions: The Apple Watch is an accessory for the iPhone, and the AirPods are an upgrade to headphones, neither breaking out of Apple's existing ecosystem.
  • The Vision Pro is Too Expensive and Advanced: Although technologically impressive, its high price and lack of essential apps (e.g., few games or office software) make it unsuitable for the general public.
  • The Car Project Failed: After years of effort, Apple abandoned its car project, indicating it has not found a viable profit model in this new hardware area.
  • Stagnant iPhone Iterations: The iPhone 17 sold well due to minor improvements and value for money, but this "facelift + slight enhancement" approach cannot match the impact of the initial iPhone, which revolutionized the mobile industry.

In short, Apple can still make significant profits from its existing products, but growth may slow if there is no new "killer product" in the next decade.

Why Choose Tuens? He is the Veteran Who Understands Apple's Hardware Best

Although there are many executives at Apple (in software and services), Tuens was chosen for a simple reason: he comes from a product background and knows how to turn technology into something users love:

  • 25 Years at Apple: He joined the design team in 2001 and has been involved in almost every major hardware project, from the iPad to the AirPods and iPhone.
  • Pioneer of Mac Chip Transformation: He led the switch to Apple Silicon, a complex process that required compatibility with old software while maintaining performance.
  • Close to the Product Frontline: While other executives may be better at management or marketing, Tuens interacts daily with engineers and designers, understanding user needs and technological possibilities.

Apple chose him not because he already knows what the next iPhone will be, but because he is the most likely to find the solution. Disruptive products always start with the product itself, not from会议室 presentations.

Tuens' First Challenge: Lagging AI, Needing a True Integration of Hardware and AI

One of Apple's biggest weaknesses is its AI capabilities, which fall short of competitors like Samsung. For example, Samsung phones offer AI-powered photo editing and translation, while Apple's Siri is still limited. Tuens' task is not to add more AI features but to address fundamental issues:

  • Superficial AI Improvements: Current AI features (like photo editing) only enhance the user experience but do not change how the phone is used (users still need to open apps).
  • Deep Integration of Hardware and AI: Attempts to integrate AI with existing apps (e.g., ByteDance's DouBao AI phone) face security and permission issues, indicating that true innovation requires reengineering hardware (chips, sensors, etc.).
  • Tuens' Strength: As a hardware engineer, he knows how to integrate AI into Apple products seamlessly.

In other words, Tuens' goal is not to add an AI button to the iPhone but to make AI a core component of Apple's products.

The Transition Signal: Apple Returning to Its Product Focus

Cook's voluntary resignation is not a sign of decline but indicates that Apple needs a product innovator for the next decade. The transition of mature tech companies (e.g., Amazon to cloud computing, Google to diversified technologies) often marks new eras. Apple has reached this point: it is a profitable empire, but to stay ahead, it must return to a product-driven approach and discover the next game-changer.

For consumers, whether or not they are Apple fans, it's exciting to see what Apple will bring next. After all, the iPhone showed us that phones could do without physical buttons. If Apple can create another product that changes the way people interact with the world, it will be beneficial for the entire industry.

Finally, no one knows whether Tuens will succeed in creating the next iPhone, but at least Apple has chosen the right direction: letting someone who understands products lead the company. Let's wait and see what happens.