第一财经

Middle East Exhibitions Return in Full Force: Business Chains Restart, Chinese Companies Show Divergent Decision-Making Patterns

原文:中东会展密集回归:商务链条重启,中企决策分化

Summary of the Core Content

This news report discusses the international exhibitions that were halted for most of this year due to the turmoil in the Middle East in March. Starting from September, these exhibitions have resumed in large numbers. This is not just the organizers trying to hold a few superficial events; it is a clear sign that the entire business circulation chain in the Middle East is beginning to recover. However, the mindset of Chinese companies looking to expand overseas is quite unique. Despite knowing that the Middle East represents a rare growth opportunity with numerous large orders, they are hesitant to invest heavily. The market is characterized by intense demand, but only those with complete certainty are willing to take action. The Middle East is evolving from being a peripheral market for exhibitions to a core area that businesses around the world are competing to secure.

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Detailed Explanation

1. The Resumption of Exhibitions: A Sign of Business Reopening in the Middle East

Many people think that organizing an exhibition simply means renting a venue and displaying samples. However, for an exhibition to be successful, a series of prerequisites must be met: international flights must operate normally, visa processes must not be delayed, maritime logistics must deliver goods on time, and buyers from around the world must feel confident traveling to the exhibitions. Any missing link could prevent the event from happening. The five major industry exhibitions in Saudi Arabia, the Saudi Technology Exhibition LEAP, and the Dubai Middle East Power Exhibition, which were postponed due to the March events, have now been successfully held, indicating that all the previous obstacles have been overcome. This is a tangible signal that the safety and business environment in the region have returned to normal.

It’s important to correct a common misconception: the entire Middle East is not a unified entity affected by conflict. Countries like the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Egypt have stable security situations and open business environments. Just because there are conflicts in some areas does not mean that business is impossible everywhere. Essential industries have continued to operate as usual; it’s just that businesses were cautious in the past.

2. The Contradictory Mentality of “Wanting to Make Money but Hesitating to Take Risks”

A peculiar aspect of the current market is the hesitation of companies to participate in Middle East exhibitions. The Saudi Five Major Industry Exhibition was expected to attract 300 Chinese companies, but only 200 actually attended, indicating that the scale of participation has not returned to pre-pandemic levels. Yet, the number of companies interested in participating has increased compared to previous years. This caution is not due to a lack of interest in doing business in the Middle East but rather fear of previous setbacks. Some organizers faced significant losses when exhibitions were canceled at the last minute, with costs for flights, hotels, freight, and venue rental going down the drain. They fear that any further disruptions during the exhibition could result in even greater losses. Therefore, companies are waiting for certainty before committing, preferring to wait a few months rather than taking unnecessary risks.

3. Why the Wait is Worth It: Unparalleled Business Opportunities in the Middle East

The global economy is sluggish, with most markets struggling for thin profits. The Middle East, however, is a growing market where investments are being made in infrastructure and development. Saudi Arabia’s “Vision 2030” plans to invest trillions of dollars in new cities, renewable energy, and infrastructure. The post-war reconstruction in the region also creates significant demand. Companies in the construction, energy, infrastructure, and consumer electronics sectors have ample opportunities. Additionally, the division of labor in the Middle East is well-defined: Dubai serves as a major hub, facilitating trade with Africa and India. With its large population and high per capita income, Saudi Arabia is a substantial consumer market. Chinese companies are no longer just hoping for small orders; they are seeking to secure a foothold in the market for the next two to three years, as resources and customers may be claimed by others if they wait too long.

4. The Future of Middle East Exhibitions

The current caution is temporary. Once the first batch of companies return safely and secure orders, a wave of new participants will follow. For example, over 1,000 Chinese companies have already registered for the December exhibition in Dubai, competing for more than 2,000 booths, and the number of registrants is still increasing. The Middle East has risen from a supplementary option to a core market, with popular exhibition dates and venues in high demand. Future growth will not be limited to traditional hotspots like Saudi Arabia and Dubai; countries in Africa, such as Kenya, Ghana, and Morocco, are also seeing rapid demand in infrastructure and agricultural machinery. Chinese companies will likely follow a strategy of “Dubai as a hub, Saudi Arabia as a key market, and Africa as a target market,” with the overall market in the Middle East and Africa expected to grow significantly in the coming years.