虎嗅

AI startups are snapping up private jets in large quantities.

原文:AI新贵,正在买爆私人飞机

I. Popular Summary of the Core Content

This news reports on a highly counterintuitive new trend: private jets, which were once considered a niche luxury for the wealthiest individuals, have become the first sector to explode in the wave of wealth creation driven by AI. Global giants in private equity (PE), such as Blackstone, KKR, and Apollo, have quietly made strategic investments and have almost monopolized the private jet service market in the United States. For example, KKR purchased Atlantic Aviation for less than $4.5 billion five years ago, and now its value has soared to $10 billion, more than doubling in just five years. Essentially, this is not about a boom in the aviation industry; it reflects the massive wealth created by AI being concentrated in the top 1% of the population. The capital serving this elite group is reaping more stable and higher returns than investing directly in AI companies.

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II. Detailed Analysis and Interpretation

1. Who Would Have Thought That the Benefits of AI Would First Impact Private Jets?

Everyone assumed that the primary beneficiaries of AI would be companies in the fields of chips, GPUs, and data centers. However, it turns out that the direct impact is on private jets, which was completely unexpected yet logical:

In recent years, the AI industry has seen numerous startups raising billions or even tens of billions in funding. Founders and early employees often become multimillionaires or even billionaires overnight. Their time is incredibly valuable—flying between cities to access computing resources, meet with investors, or attend meetings takes hours by commercial flight, which is a significant waste of time. The cost of purchasing a private jet is negligible compared to the potential savings.

Currently, the inventory of premium private jet manufacturers like Gulfstream and Bombardier is very low, with orders backpedaling three years. Even parking spaces at airports near SpaceX launch sites are in high demand. Ten years ago, only 20% of private jet customers came from the tech industry; now that proportion has risen to nearly 80%. The average age of buyers has dropped by a decade, with many young AI entrepreneurs, having just cashed in on their investments, purchasing jets as easily as ordinary people buy smartphones.

2. The Clever Strategy of PE Giants: Avoiding AI Ventures to Profit from the New Rich

VC firms are competing fiercely for AI projects, valuing even moderately promising companies in the billions. However, the risks are high: a new feature from OpenAI could wipe out a small AI company’s investment. These top PE firms, on the other hand, have found a low-risk, guaranteed profit opportunity: they are making money from the “passing traffic” of the AI era. The infrastructure necessary for AI, such as data centers and power, is well-established. They don’t need to worry about which AI companies will succeed; as long as individuals become wealthy through AI, they will have to pay for private jet services. It’s like setting up toll booths on the road to wealth creation, with no technical risks involved, offering much higher returns than investing in AI companies directly.

3. A Closer Look at KKR’s Remarkable Deal: A 100% Return in Five Years

During the peak of the pandemic in 2021, the aviation industry was nearly paralyzed, and everyone avoided related assets. KKR boldly invested $4.475 billion in Atlantic Aviation, which was seen as an overpay at the time. Now its value has doubled to $10 billion, representing a 123% increase on paper. However, KKR’s actual profit is even higher:

  • They only invested $2.9 billion of their own funds; the rest came from low-interest loans from banks, effectively using other people’s money to generate the majority of the return.
  • Over the years, Atlantic Aviation has paid KKR nearly $400 million in dividends, nearly recovering 14% of their initial investment.
  • KKR has realized a direct profit of $750 million from this deal and still holds 35% of the company’s shares. As more AI-rich individuals emerge, the company’s value will continue to rise, allowing KKR to profit further.
  • Additionally, with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes, many PE firms that had leveraged their investments are facing financial difficulties, while Atlantic Aviation’s profits have doubled, and its service network has expanded from 69 to 105 locations. This was a perfect exit strategy for KKR, as they acquired an asset that was previously undervalued.

4. No Competition in This Business: Essentially, Controlling the “Money-Making Machines” at Airports

PE giants are not just buying private jets; they are acquiring the related services. Once a jet lands at an airport, services such as parking, refueling, maintenance, and de-icing are all under their control. The barriers to entering this market are extremely high. Airports in major U.S. cities have already reached their capacity, and it’s impossible to secure exclusive landing spaces even with a trillion dollars. In the past three years, Blackstone and KKR have made hundreds of small acquisitions, dominating over 90% of the market for these services in North America. It’s like they have taken control of all the parking lots in China’s major cities. As the number of luxury cars increases, they can collect fees for parking and fueling, with no need for additional effort. New players have no chance of entering this lucrative market, creating a virtually perpetual source of revenue.

5. The Heartbreaking Reality of AI-Driven Wealth Creation: The Wealth Gap Widens

The surge in private jet sales confirms the prominent K-shaped polarization in global consumption. On one end, the consumption of ordinary middle-class households is declining, with housing sales in the U.S. at their lowest levels in 30 years, and even luxury brands like Gucci are struggling. On the other end, the consumption of the super-rich is skyrocketing, with brands like Hermès seeing record profits and sales of homes worth over $10 million increasing by 30%, and sales of Ferraris and Lamborghinis growing by double digits. Private jets are also in high demand.

Initially, AI was touted as a technology that would benefit everyone, but 99% of the wealth created by AI is going to the top 1% of employees and founders. These individuals use their newfound wealth to buy jets, luxury homes, and supercars, while the capital serving them also profits significantly. The remaining 99% of the population may not even see any benefits from AI and could face job losses, further widening the wealth gap.