虎嗅

R2 is on the road – is the countdown to the day when drivers will buy cars for Didi?

原文:R2上路,司机替滴滴买车的日子倒计时?

Summary of the Core Content

This article goes beyond the superficial technical news about Didi launching a new autonomous vehicle and reveals a counterintuitive truth: Didi’s newly introduced R2 autonomous taxi is not merely a showcase of advanced technology. In essence, it represents an attempt to overthrow the mature business model that Didi has built over the past decade, a model that has been highly profitable thanks to millions of drivers. In the past, Didi did not need to invest a penny in purchasing vehicles; instead, it relied on drivers bringing in their own cars to provide free transportation services. Now, Didi is willing to bear the heavy costs of manufacturing and maintaining vehicles in order to completely eliminate the need for drivers, preventing itself from becoming an app that merely routes orders for others.

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Detailed Explanation

1. Tesla and Didi are taking completely different approaches to autonomous taxis, yet they are both aiming for the same goal

Many people assume that the strategies of Tesla and Didi for developing autonomous vehicles are similar, but in reality, they are doing the opposite:

  • Tesla first developed its vehicle manufacturing capabilities and autonomous driving technology, and now it faces the challenge of finding enough customers for its self-driving cars. It’s like having produced the goods first and then looking for buyers.
  • Didi, on the other hand, has the largest number of taxi orders in the country, with over 40 million orders daily and hundreds of millions of users. It has never been involved in vehicle manufacturing until now; it’s like having a large number of potential buyers and then starting to produce the “goods” (i.e., the autonomous vehicles) itself.
  • Both companies are ultimately aiming for the same business model: in the future, vehicles will not require drivers. They will pick up passengers in the morning, complete orders automatically, and then go to charge at night, with all the profits going directly to the platform.

2. Didi’s past success was not due to high commissions, but rather by having drivers act as “free suppliers”

People often criticize Didi for high commission rates, but these commissions were just a small part of its profit. The clever strategy was to shift the most expensive costs to the drivers:

  • In a traditional taxi business, the company has to buy vehicles, hire drivers, and cover expenses for idle vehicles, repairs, insurance, and fuel. However, Didi’s drivers were more like “micro-entrepreneurs” who brought in their own cars to work. They bore the costs of purchasing and maintaining their vehicles, while Didi did not spend a penny. Moreover, these drivers also became Didi’s customers, as Didi’s services provided car rental and financing options.
  • This model was inherently flawed: the platform was at the top, with intermediaries trying to profit from the transaction. As Didi grew, a network of rental companies and financial services emerged, exploiting new drivers with promises of high monthly incomes and low initial rent costs. However, the actual rent was much higher than the market rate, and drivers had to work long hours to break even. A large portion of their earnings was taken by the platform and rental companies.

3. The R2 autonomous vehicle represents a fundamental shift in Didi’s business model

The R2 does not rely on 33 sensors or L4-level autonomous driving; its real impact is the complete disruption of the traditional driver-platform relationship:

  • With autonomous vehicles, Didi no longer has to worry about the costs associated with drivers, such as vehicle purchases and maintenance. However, this also means it no longer needs to share profits with them. It no longer has to deal with rental intermediaries or address driver complaints about commission rates or algorithmic decisions.
  • In the future, platforms will have more control over orders. For example, for the same airport order, an autonomous vehicle will earn all the profits, leaving human drivers with no share. As a result, drivers will likely be forced to take on lower-paying, more distant orders, while autonomous vehicles will take on the better ones.

4. Didi’s current dilemma

Didi is in a difficult position: it needs to appease its existing drivers while simultaneously preparing to replace them with autonomous vehicles. Currently, 99.9% of Didi’s orders are still handled by human drivers. If it were to announce the end of driver-based services, it would cause a huge backlash. Therefore, Didi is trying to maintain driver rights by reducing commission rates and providing incentives. However, it also has to move forward with autonomous vehicles to avoid losing business to companies like Tesla and Baidu.

  • If Didi does not develop its own autonomous vehicles, it will risk losing its profit margins to others and becoming merely a traffic-generating platform with no control over the industry.

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This is the translated English analysis of the provided Chinese news article.