第一财经

800 billion yuan in policy-based financial instruments have been activated, with the potential to leverage an additional 10 trillion yuan in investment.

原文:8000亿政策性金融工具启用,有望撬动10万亿投资增量

Summary of the News in Plain Language

This report discusses the 80 billion yuan in “policy-based project startup funds” that the government has allocated for this year, which have already been distributed in various regions across the country. These funds are specifically designed to provide the much-needed initial capital for major projects that align with government policies. There has been a significant upgrade from the previous version from 2025: not only has the amount increased from 50 billion yuan to 80 billion yuan, but the release date has also been advanced by half a month. For the first time, these funds are being prioritized for private enterprises and new industrial projects. It is expected that this will ultimately leverage a total investment of around 10 trillion yuan, providing support for stable economic growth in the coming months. The central bank may also lower the cost of related funds in the future, making it cheaper for projects to borrow money and further amplifying the economic impact.

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Detailed Explanation in Plain Language

1. What exactly are these 80 billion yuan, and why isn’t the money just given directly to the projects?

Many people may not understand what “supplementing project capital” means. Let’s use a practical example: if you want to open a restaurant with a total investment of 1 million yuan, according to bank regulations, you need to contribute at least 200,000 yuan as your own capital. Only with the remaining 800,000 yuan can you apply for a loan to cover the rest of the costs. Otherwise, the risk of starting a business with borrowed money is too high, and banks are reluctant to approve the loan.

Over the past few years, thousands of high-quality projects have been identified in China, such as pumped storage power stations, urban wastewater treatment plants, AI computing centers, and low-altitude economy industrial parks. These projects have mature technical solutions and are sure to be profitable once completed, but the main obstacle has been the lack of initial capital. Private capital is wary of the risks and reluctant to invest, and local governments do not have extra funds. As a result, these projects remain shelved.

The 80 billion yuan in policy-based financial funds serve as the government’s role as the “initial investor.” The interest rate on these funds is very low, and the repayment period can be as long as ten to twenty years, effectively providing the required capital with almost no financial pressure. Once the initial conditions are met, banks can provide loans, and private investment can follow, thus resolving the long-standing obstacles to these projects.

2. What are the improvements in this year’s program compared to last year’s?

There are four main changes that address previous issues:

  • Increased amount: The total amount has increased from 50 billion yuan to 80 billion yuan, allowing support for hundreds more projects.
  • Earlier release: Last year, the funds were only distributed at the end of September, and by the end of October, many projects in the north could not start construction due to the winter. This year, the first batch of funds was distributed in early September, ensuring that projects can begin during the peak construction season in the fourth quarter.
  • Broader scope of investment: While previous funds were mainly used for traditional infrastructure, this year they are also being directed towards new industries such as renewable energy, digital economy, AI, and low-altitude economy, which not only stabilizes current investments but also paves the way for future growth.
  • Greater focus on private enterprises: Last year, it was difficult for private enterprises to obtain these funds. This year, more than half of the first batch of projects involve private capital, with some even receiving direct funding. For example, a wastewater treatment project in Shanxi and a new material production line in Henan were funded by private enterprises, indicating the government’s confidence in their ability to generate profits.

3. How can 80 billion yuan leverage a total investment of 10 trillion yuan?

This might seem like a large figure, but it’s not unrealistic. According to general investment rules, capital accounts for only about 10% of the total investment. So, for every 1 yuan contributed by the government, an additional 9 yuan can be obtained from banks and private investors. Last year, 50 billion yuan leveraged a total investment of 7 trillion yuan, with a leverage ratio of 14 times. This year, with a conservative estimate of 12 to 13 times, 80 billion yuan should correspond to a total investment of 10 trillion yuan.

The 10 trillion yuan will not be spent all at once but will be allocated gradually as projects progress. For instance, building a pumped storage power station requires purchasing steel and cement, hiring staff, and buying servers; a new material production line requires hiring workers and purchasing raw materials. The money will flow through the supply chain, benefiting businesses and residents along the way, driving employment and consumption. It is estimated that this will generate more than 3 trillion yuan in annual investment over the next three years, providing a sustained boost to the economy.

Additionally, domestic loan growth was weak in July, and investment enthusiasm was generally low. These funds act as a catalyst, helping to activate projects that have been on hold for a while, with a significant impact on stabilizing growth in the fourth quarter.

4. Where does the money come from, and what benefits will it bring to ordinary people?

The 80 billion yuan does not come from printing money. It comes through a low-cost channel established by the central bank (commonly referred to as PSL, which can be understood as a special low-interest loan facility for policy banks). The funds are provided to the China Development Bank, the Export-Import Bank of China, and the Agricultural Development Bank to support these policy-based projects. The interest rate on this channel is slightly higher than the market rate, so there is an expectation that it will be lowered in the future. This will reduce the overall cost of projects, making it easier for them to generate profits and attracting more private investment.

For ordinary people, this means that long-planned projects such as subways, urban parks, and wastewater treatment plants can start sooner. Low-altitude economy projects will bring new services like ride-hailing services, and the construction of pumped storage power stations will help stabilize electricity prices during peak usage times. New digital and AI projects will create more high-paying jobs, and private enterprises will have more flexibility in expanding production without laying off workers, thus improving job stability.

5. No worry about misappropriation of funds: The money is earmarked for specific purposes

There is no concern that the funds will be used for speculative purposes like real estate or agriculture, causing inflation. The distribution of the funds is gradual, and each allocation is specifically designated for capital needs of real projects. None of the funds have gone towards real estate or the housing market. The policy also encourages private investment, using government funds as a catalyst to activate private capital that was previously hesitant to invest. This will help drive the economy towards higher-quality industries, rather than just creating temporary GDP growth.