虎嗅

How Come McDonald's Can't Outperform KFC in China?

原文:麦当劳在中国怎么就干不过肯德基?

Summary in Plain Language

McDonald's is clearly the global leader in Western fast food: by 2025, it had 45,000 stores worldwide, with total sales approaching 100 billion yuan, which is 3.8 times that of KFC, leaving KFC far behind. However, the situation is completely reversed in the Chinese market. As of the second quarter of 2026, KFC had 13,789 stores, 1.7 times the number of McDonald's stores, and its sales have consistently ranked first among Western fast food brands in China.

Even more astonishingly, since McDonald's changed its name to Golden Arch in 2017, it has accelerated its expansion significantly, adding nearly 900 new stores each year, on average 2-3 per day. As a result, the gap between the two brands has widened from 5,000 to over 5,600 stores, and even McDonald's existing stores in China have seen negative sales growth.

The common misconceptions about McDonald's, such as higher prices, lack of popularity among young people, poor supply chains, and inability to localize, are all incorrect. The real reason for KFC's success is that it established an expansive network decades ago that covers all counties in China, allowing it to generate revenue throughout the day. Now, McDonald's is not just competing for a particular burger or a single store; it is competing for a nationwide food service network that has been built over decades.

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Detailed Analysis

1. Many Long-Held “Common Sense” Beliefs Are Actually Misconceptions

For people who have never been to first- or second-tier cities, their perceptions of the two brands are fundamentally wrong:

  • Misconception 1: Is KFC cheaper? In 2024, the average order price at KFC was 34 yuan, while at McDonald's it was 28 yuan. McDonald's' “1+1” deal at 13.9 yuan has firmly established its reputation for good value, with nearly half of consumers finding its prices reasonable, and only 13% considering KFC's prices affordable.
  • Misconception 2: Do young people prefer KFC? While there are many online posts from “McDonald's fans” showing their orders, few actually mention KFC. In consumer surveys, 60% of young people prefer McDonald's, and its brand popularity far surpasses that of KFC.
  • Misconception 3: Does McDonald's fail to localize or have a poor supply chain? KFC purchases 800,000 tons of ingredients annually, 90% of which are produced domestically. It has invested 12 billion yuan in building a local supply chain and has introduced new products like the Pork Bun Burger, Winter Soup Burger, and Bone Tea Burger, demonstrating its commitment to localization.

The reason for the illusion that the two brands are similar is that people mainly live in first-tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, where the number of stores is relatively even (with 55% of stores within 500 meters of each other). This makes it seem that the same pattern applies nationwide.

2. The Real Battle Ground Is Not in the Cities You Know

The balance of power between the two brands in first-tier cities is just an exception. The true divide starts in second-tier cities and below:

  • In new first-tier cities, KFC has over 800 more stores than McDonald's; in second-tier cities, it has over 1,300 more. In third-tier and lower cities, KFC has twice as many stores as McDonald's.
  • KFC has entered over 2,700 counties and towns, while McDonald's only covers about 280 prefecture-level cities, meaning it is hardly present in many small towns and even in the core business districts of third- and fourth-tier cities.

Even if McDonald's’ “1+1” deal is highly popular, if there is no store nearby, consumers won’t be able to take advantage of it. In many small areas, children first experience Western fast food at KFC; for them, McDonald’s is something you only eat when traveling to a big city.

3. KFC’s “Building Blocks for Expansion” Have Lowered the Bar for Entry

Many wonder why McDonald’s doesn’t expand into smaller towns. The reason is that traditional McDonald’s stores require a large space (170 square meters) and significant investment (1.6 million yuan in renovation and equipment). However, small towns have fewer people, lower purchasing power, and cheaper rent, making it unprofitable to operate such large stores. KFC has solved this by creating smaller, more affordable store models (100 square meters) that require only a third of the original investment, with a payback period of up to three years. It also encourages local franchisees to invest and manage stores, with nearly half of the new stores in the second quarter of 2026 being operated by local partners who have local connections and knowledge of the best locations.

By the time McDonald’s realized the need to expand into smaller towns, the best locations in thousands of counties had already been taken by KFC.

4. KFC Has Moved Beyond Being a “Fried Chicken Restaurant” to a 24-Hour Community Hub

McDonald’s’ core focus remains on making delicious burgers and generating revenue from fast food. It has expanded beyond the traditional fast-food category, offering a variety of dishes throughout the day. Its stores are active from morning to night: breakfast items compete with bakeries, burgers and rice with takeaway services, egg tarts and coffee with奶茶 shops, and family-friendly meals with other restaurants. This all-round approach maximizes store utilization, with over half of its sales coming from delivery. With thousands of stores nationwide within a 3-kilometer delivery radius, it is always the first choice for a quick meal, resulting in higher profitability compared to brands that focus solely on main meals.

5. A Decade-Long Advantage Makes It Difficult to Overcome

The gap between the two brands is not just due to McDonald’s late entry into China. In 2017, when McDonald’s regained control of its operations in China and changed its name to Golden Arch, KFC already had 5,400 stores in over 1,200 cities, while McDonald’s had only 2,500. Although McDonald’s has significantly increased its expansion speed in the past nine years, KFC’s early advantages have created a snowball effect: more stores mean lower supply chain costs, stronger brand recognition in smaller areas, and higher profits, allowing it to open more stores and widen the gap.

McDonald’s is now competing for a nationwide network that covers thousands of counties, providing a comprehensive range of food services. This competition is just beginning, and the outcome is still uncertain. Winning won’t come from a few localized products or promotional campaigns; it will require a comprehensive strategy that builds on decades of success.