虎嗅

Ancient and modern couples take turns going global—what's missing from "C-Drama" to compete with "K-Pop"?

原文:古偶、现偶轮番出海,“C-Drama”离“K-Pop”还差些什么?

Hello! I'm your financial journalist and economic analyst friend. Today, we're not talking about whether a particular TV series is good or not, but about a much broader and more important topic related to money and the future: "Are Chinese TV dramas (C-Dramas) going abroad to make easy money, or are they building a sustainable foundation for their international presence?"

Recently, there was some exciting news: Youku's drama "Early Spring Clear Sky" reached over 2.4 million views in just 5 days on Netflix, climbing to the second place on the global non-English drama chart. Along with previous hits like "Chasing Jade" and "The Ordinary Immortal," people suddenly started to think, "Wow, Chinese dramas are going to explode internationally and become the next K-Pop!"

The numbers are indeed impressive, but as a professional, I need to give you both a dose of reality and some perspective. "Impressive numbers don't necessarily mean a mature business." The core argument of this article is quite sharp: C-Dramas are currently in a period of frequent hits, but they're still a long way from achieving the kind of systematic dominance that K-Pop has.

Let me break down this article into five key aspects to explain the logic behind this phenomenon in plain language.

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1. The Phenomenon: From Being Noticed to Being Obsessed, How Wild Are the Numbers?

First of all, we have to admit that Chinese dramas are really popular overseas now, and not just a small flame; it's a huge phenomenon that has captivated audiences around the world.

  • Record-breaking Rankings: In the past, Chinese dramas might only spread within niche circles when they went abroad. Now, "Early Spring Clear Sky" has directly reached the second place on Netflix's global non-English chart. That means that out of billions of people worldwide, more than 20 million have spent tens of millions of hours watching this drama.
  • Search Volume Surpassing Korean Dramas: Google data shows that the global search volume for "Chinese dramas" has even surpassed that of Korean dramas, which have dominated global pop culture for decades. This indicates a shift in taste, with Western audiences actively seeking out Chinese dramas.
  • Platforms Making Big Profits: iQiyi International's viewership has doubled, and its overseas membership revenue has increased by 30%-40%; Mango TV's downloads have exceeded 300 million; Ningmeng Film and Television's overseas revenue has increased by 2.5 times.

In simple terms: It's like a Chinese restaurant that used to only get occasional visitors who thought, "Hmm, the food's okay." Now, there's a long queue outside, and not only Asians but also Europeans and South Americans are lining up. Moreover, the restaurant is not only selling food but also launching brand-related merchandise (like fan economies), making its business thrive.

Key Point: This popularity is real and not just a bubble. It marks a shift from passive distribution of content to active attraction by Chinese dramas.

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2. The Comparison: Why Call It the "Chinese Version of K-Pop?" It's a Misunderstanding

The article makes a fascinating comparison: Media often calls C-Dramas the "Chinese version of K-Pop," but this is more of a rhetorical shortcut than a true equivalence.

Why? Because K-Pop and C-Dramas operate in completely different ways:

  • K-Pop is an "Industrialized Assembly Line":
  • Government Support: The Korean government treats K-Pop as a national strategy, providing visas, funding, and diplomatic support.
  • Star Manufacturing: Idols are "created" rather than "discovered." The trainee system is harsh but efficient, ensuring standardized and high-quality products.
  • Fan Community: Fans not only listen to music but also buy albums, merchandise, and attend concerts, forming a complete emotional and commercial ecosystem.
  • Cultural Penetration: K-Pop has influenced Korean cosmetics, food, and fashion worldwide. You might buy a lipstick or fried chicken after listening to a song.
  • C-Dramas are a "Masterpiece Workshop" with a Touch of Luck:
  • Lack of Standardization: There's no unified training system for actors, writers, or directors in China. Success relies on individual talent and timing.
  • Fan Engagement: Overseas fans are mostly self-organized, lacking systematic management and guidance.
  • Cultural Penetration: Fans may remember the actors' faces but are unlikely to learn Chinese, travel to China, or buy Chinese products.

In simple terms: K-Pop is like an automobile factory where every car is of consistent quality, with a unified brand and excellent after-sales service, available worldwide. C-Dramas are more like a private restaurant run by a talented chef; while the food is excellent, there's no standardized menu, no chain stores, and no comprehensive fan system.

Conclusion: What C-Dramas lack is a systematic framework to support their international success.

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3. The Content: Ancient Histories as the Foundation, Modern Romances as a New Growth Point, but Risks of an "Internal Cycle"

The article analyzes which dramas are popular and why. An interesting trend is that what's successful abroad is also popular in China:

  • Ancient Histories Still Rule: Dramas like "The Ordinary Immortal," "Zanghai Chuan," and "White Moon Fan Star" are wildly popular in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia. The themes of immortality and power intrigue are culturally appealing.
  • Modern Romances are Rising: Dramas like "Early Spring Clear Sky," "Love You," and "Hard to Pacify" are breaking through. "Early Spring Clear Sky" even ranked first in Brazil, indicating that Chinese modern workplace and romantic stories are being accepted by non-Asian markets.
  • Rating Disparities: Some dramas score low in China (e.g., "Water Dragon Chant" with 5.7 on Douban) but high on IMDb, showing that overseas audiences have their own criteria, focusing on the quality of the story and production.

In simple terms: In the past, we mainly exported ancient historical dramas, which were seen as exotic and exquisite. Now, we're exporting more modern, relatable stories about daily life in China.

However, there's a Catch: C-Dramas are currently popular mainly within Asia (Southeast Asia, Japan, Korea) due to similar cultural backgrounds. In mainstream European and American markets, they're still in a niche. The themes of CEOs, sweet romances, and revenge stories can become repetitive and may lead to audience fatigue.

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4. The Pain Points: Increased Revenue, but Not Profit; High Costs, and Lack of Pricing Power

This is the tough, realistic business aspect:

  • Soaring Costs: Production costs have risen to meet the high standards of overseas platforms (e.g., Netflix) for HD, subtitles, and dubbing. For example, "Early Spring Clear Sky" had a Brazilian Portuguese dubbing, which was expensive.
  • Promotion Expenses: Advertising and traffic costs are increasing year by year.
  • Return Risks: Many well-produced dramas are rejected by overseas platforms due to poor subtitles or aspect ratios.
  • Meager Profits: Short-form dramas rely on traffic buying, but the costs are high, leading to increased revenue but lower profits. Long-form dramas generate one-time copyright sales, but ongoing overseas operations are costly.
  • Lack of Pricing Power: In the past, Chinese dramas were sold at low prices by intermediaries. Now, good dramas can fetch hundreds of thousands to millions of dollars per episode, but China still lacks control over pricing.

In simple terms: It's like running an export clothing factory. In the past, foreigners paid low prices; now, they're willing to pay more for higher-quality products. However, production and distribution costs have increased, leaving China with a smaller share of the profits.

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5. The Future: From a "Hit Logic" to a "Systematic Logic," a Long Road Ahead

The article concludes that C-Dramas are gaining international attention, but there's still a significant gap before they become a globally beloved culture:

  • Reasons for Success: Numbers are rising, and platforms like iQiyi, Tencent, and Youku have built the necessary infrastructure. The range of genres is expanding, and there's growing interest in Chinese culture.
  • Reasons for Challenges: Lack of an industrialized system for creating stars and producing dramas. Cultural differences (such as family dynamics and workplace norms) are hard to overcome in translation and dubbing. Fan management is still in its infancy.

In simple terms: C-Dramas are like a rising superstar that's already made a significant impact, but they need to establish their own systems—record labels, global tour teams, fan support networks, and merchandise supply chains. K-Pop took 20 years to achieve this, and C-Dramas are just starting.

Implications for You: If you follow this industry, focus on whether the Chinese film and television industry is building standardized and industrialized capabilities. If China can produce international-caliber actors and writers on a large scale and establish unified overseas distribution standards, then C-Dramas can truly become the next K-Pop. Otherwise, they will remain more of a niche export.

In Summary: The success of "Early Spring Clear Sky" is a remarkable breakthrough, but C-Dramas need a systematic foundation to make their popularity a sustainable trend. Building this foundation is much harder and slower than creating a hit drama. However, it's the necessary step for the Chinese film and television industry to grow from large to strong.

Thank you for reading!