虎嗅

The Foldable Screen That Was Delayed by Seven Years: Apple Gives the Credit for the Innovation to Samsung, but Keeps the Pricing Power for Themselves

原文:迟到七年的折叠屏:苹果把首创权让给了三星,把定价权留给了自己

In-Depth Analysis of the Apple Foldable iPhone Duo: When the “Jobs Legacy” Meets the “Follower Dilemma”

Hello everyone, I’m your financial journalist. Today, we’re talking about the hottest news in the tech world: Apple has finally released its foldable phone—the iPhone Duo.

Many people’s first reaction was, “Apple’s finally here!” But if you read this in-depth report from “Tingfeng Yici,” you’ll realize things aren’t that simple. This isn’t just a product launch; it’s also a reflection of a shift in Apple’s corporate personality. It’s no longer the company led by Steve Jobs, who redefined the world with bold innovations, but rather a top-tier businessman skilled in strategic planning and cost-effective production.

To make it easier to understand, I’ve broken down this long article into five key aspects and explained them in plain language:

What exactly is Apple selling? Why does it dare to charge such a high price? What has it lost? And what does this mean for us ordinary people?

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1. Core Summary: A Carefully Packaged “Make-Up Assignment”

In one sentence:

On September 9, 2026, Apple released the first foldable iPhone Duo, with a starting price of $1,999 (15,999 yuan in the Chinese market), making it the most expensive iPhone ever. Although it boasts impressive specs (a 7.6-inch screen, titanium metal, and support for the Apple Pencil), it doesn’t surpass its Android competitors in terms of thickness or camera quality.

Core Logic:

Apple didn’t “reinvent” the foldable phone; instead, it entered the market as a “follower,” leveraging its strong supply chain and brand prestige to capture a market that Android manufacturers have been working on for seven years. It no longer aims for “first place” but for “most expensive” and “most reliable.”

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2. In-Depth Analysis: Five Dimensions Explained in Simple Terms

Dimension One: From “Surprise” to “Follower”: Apple Has Lost the Right to Define

In simple terms:

In the past, when Apple released a new product, people were excited to discover new ways of using it (like the initial iPhone or iPad). This time, however, the focus was on how beautifully it was made.

The article makes a poignant comparison: It’s like everyone has built buildings according to the same blueprint for seven years, and then someone new arrives and says, “Let me redefine what a building is.” They can make the exterior more expensive and the elevator more stable, but the blueprint wasn’t drawn by them.

  • In the past: Apple was a “pioneer,” entering uncharted markets (early MP3 players, smartphones) and setting the standard for user experience.
  • Now: Apple is a “harvester,” entering a market where Samsung, Huawei, and others have already solved many problems (foldable screens, hinges, durability). Apple’s role is to refine existing technologies.

Key Point: Apple was honest about not reinventing the foldable phone but redefining the user experience. The form factor was determined by others; Apple just perfected it.

Dimension Two: The Seven-Year itch: Why Does Apple Take Its Time?

In simple terms:

Many criticize Apple for being late, but its strategy is, “I don’t rush; I don’t fear failure, only mistakes.”

Looking back, the iPod, iPhone, and iPad weren’t the first, but they were the best. Apple’s strength lies in waiting until others prove the need and solve the technical challenges before entering the market with a mature supply chain and excellent engineering.

  • Android’s role: They were the “pathfinders,” investing in market development and solving technical issues.
  • Apple’s role: The “harvester,” avoiding the risks of early failures and focusing on creating the most reliable and profitable products.

Cost: This strategy makes Apple seem conservative in innovation. The article mentions that Apple’s efforts in electric vehicles have been unsuccessful, and it’s also falling behind in AI. This wait-and-see approach works for hardware but may hinder progress in rapidly evolving fields like AI.

Dimension Three: $1,999: The Only Ace in the Follower’s Hand

In simple terms:

If technology and design aren’t unique, why does Apple charge so much ($1999 more than Samsung’s first-generation foldable phone)?

The answer lies in brand and scarcity:

  • Brand prestige: Apple doesn’t need to be cheaper; it deliberately sets a high price to maintain its premium image. The price reflects its status in consumers’ minds.
  • Cost Shifting: The CEO of memory chip giant Micron attended the launch, indicating that Apple’s main concern is securing enough memory. With rising chip prices, it passes the cost onto consumers.
  • Profit Maximization: Producing 10 million units shows that Apple aims to capture the largest share of the market. This strategy is effective in hardware but may lag in rapidly evolving areas like AI.

Dimension Four: The Battle Is in the Factory, Not the Launch Event

In simple terms:

The launch event might seem ordinary, but the real game is about production capacity.

  • Why the delay? The iPhone 18 Pro was available for pre-ordering on September 12, while the Duo wasn’t until October 16. This reflects the reality of building up production capacity.
  • Challenges of flexible screens: Foldable screens, hinges, and assembly are more complex than flat screens. Apple invested seven years in its supply chain to ensure sufficient production.
  • Scarcity Pricing: Prices are determined by scarcity, not cost. By limiting production, Apple creates a sense of exclusivity.

Analogy: It’s like buying train tickets during the Spring Festival rush. With a fixed supply, those who book early avoid the crowds. Apple prepared seven years in advance.

Dimension Five: Siri’s Delay and the Fate of the “Filler”

In simple terms:

Another concerning aspect is Apple’s AI (Siri):

  • AI’s Lag: The new Siri will only be available in a test version on September 14, initially in English. Competitors like OpenAI and Google have made multiple improvements.
  • Decision-Making: Apple’s approach works for hardware, but not for AI, where speed depends on data and computing power.
  • Loss of Naming Power: Apple used to create its own terms, but this time it adopted the existing term “foldable phone” and the design. It’s focusing on the experience, not the form factor.

Conclusion:

Pioneers define terms; followers fill in the gaps. The iPhone Duo fills in the gaps nicely (titanium metal, split-screen, Pencil support), but it’s based on existing technologies.

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3. Implications for Us Ordinary People:

1. Don’t Expect Disruption, Expect Quality: Don’t expect revolutionary features; instead, expect a beautifully crafted phone with a seamless ecosystem and high resale value.

2. Price Is a Barrier, but Also a Filter: At 15,999 yuan, it’s a luxury product, targeting loyal, high-income users.

3. Apple Isn’t Declining; It’s Just Becoming More Stable: Apple isn’t losing its edge; it’s adapting to a new business model. This might be more profitable for shareholders.

4. Uncertainty in the Future: The real risk is missing the next disruptive technology. If Apple waits for others to prove the concept, it might miss the opportunity.

4. Conclusion

The release of the iPhone Duo marks a new phase in the tech industry: the era of innovation has passed, and the era of engineering and supply chain dominance has begun.

Apple took seven years to turn the foldable phone into its most profitable product, focusing on price, production, and profit.

For consumers, it’s a choice to pay a premium for peace of mind. For the industry, it shows giants shifting from creativity to efficiency.

Final Question: If the iPhone Duo really costs 15,999 yuan, would you buy it for the Apple brand or a cheaper Android flagship? Share your thoughts in the comments!