虎嗅

Five New Characteristics of the Longevity Population

原文:长寿人口五大新特征

Hello! I'm your financial analysis assistant. This article from the Taikang Longevity Era Research Institute is essentially drawing a “map of future life” for each of us. It tells us that the world is undergoing a quiet but significant transformation: we not only need to live longer, but also live richer, healthier, and more independently.

To make it easier for you to understand, I’ll first summarize the key points in one sentence and then break them down into five aspects, explaining them in plain language.

📌 Summary of Key Points

The “Age of Longevity” has arrived, but it’s not just about getting older; it’s about a comprehensive “upgrading” of our lives. In the past, aging meant retirement, illness, relying on children, and spending savings. However, thanks to technological and economic advancements, the elderly have become a powerful force in society: they are in better physical shape (health revolution), more mentally sharp (cognitive revolution), and have more money (wealth revolution), and they are becoming less dependent on their children, pursuing independent living (independence revolution). This means that caring for the elderly is no longer a burden but a huge opportunity. Whoever understands this will seize the future opportunities.

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🔍 In-Depth Analysis: The Five Truths of the Age of Longevity

1. Population Shift: From a “Pyramid” to a “Column,” with the Elderly No Longer in the Minority

Plain Language: Imagine the population structure was like a pyramid with many children at the base and few elderly people at the top. Now, that pyramid is slowly turning into a “column,” with the upper part even thicker than the bottom.

  • China’s Rapid Aging: Our country is aging particularly fast. Why? Between 1962 and 1975, an average of 26 million people were born each year. This group is now around 60-70 years old and is entering the elderly population in large numbers.
  • Shocking Future: By around 2050, the number of people over 65 in China could reach 430 million. That means one in every two Chinese people could be an elderly person.
  • Global Trend: This is not just a Chinese phenomenon; it’s happening worldwide. By the 2070s, the number of people over 65 may exceed the number of children under 18.
  • Structural Change: Not only is the total population increasing, but the proportion of very elderly people (over 80) is also rising. What used to be considered old age at 60 is now more like mid-old age, with the truly elderly group starting at 80.

What Does This Mean for You? Social resources, policy-making, and commercial services will all need to revolve around these over 400 million elderly people. If you still view the elderly as a vulnerable group, you’re behind the times.

2. Health Revolution: Not “Living with Illness,” but “Getting Healthier as You Age”

Plain Language: In the past, aging meant declining health and frequent hospital visits. But now, people are living longer and in better health.

  • Increased Lifespan: The global average life expectancy has risen from 51 years in 1960 to 73 years today, and many of these extra years are healthy ones. It used to be “living to 80 but becoming sick by 70”; now it’s more like “living to 90 and staying healthy until 80.”
  • Generational Difference: Today’s elderly people are much healthier than their parents were at the same age. This is because they didn’t go hungry as children and benefited from economic reforms and better medical care.
  • Proactive Health Management: The elderly are very aware of health maintenance. They have regular check-ups, control their diet, and exercise regularly. They are no longer passively waiting for illness but actively managing their health.
  • Technological Advancements: Gene technology and precision medicine have made it possible to control many chronic diseases and detect cancer early.

What Does This Mean for You? The “big health” industry is a huge opportunity. It’s not just about selling medicines; it also includes nutritional supplements, fitness services, smart wearable devices, and rehabilitation care. The elderly are willing to spend on health and vitality.

3. Cognitive Awakening: The Elderly Are No Longer “Old-Fashioned”; They Are Lifelong Learners

Plain Language: Many people think the elderly can’t learn new things or keep up with the times. That’s completely wrong! Today’s elderly are much more intelligent than you might think.

  • Higher Education: Many elderly people have received formal education and even attended university. The illiteracy rate has significantly decreased, and they have a wealth of knowledge.
  • Digital Literacy: One in every two elderly people is online, watching videos, reading news, using WeChat for payments, and even doing live broadcasts. 78% of the elderly spend more than two hours online daily.
  • Lifelong Learning: Elderly people participate in classes on calligraphy, singing, and even programming and video editing. Research by Nobel laureates shows that learning new things keeps the brain young.
  • Experience as an Asset: In the knowledge economy, physical strength is less important; experience and wisdom are key. The elderly often have more judgment in fields like consulting, education, and management.

What Does This Mean for You? Don’t treat the elderly as a group that only watches TV. They represent a huge consumer market. “Silver-haired KOLs” (elderly internet influencers), elderly education, and knowledge-based services are emerging industries. You need to communicate with them in a way they understand and enjoy.

4. Wealth Transfer: The Elderly Have Money—and It’s “Hard Currency”

Plain Language: In the past, people thought the elderly had little money and relied on their children for support. But now, the elderly are often the financial pillars of their families.

  • Wealth Concentration: In countries like Japan, the United States, and the UK, most of the family wealth is in the hands of people over 60. For example, 20% of the elderly population in the US owns more than 50% of the wealth.
  • China’s Post-60s Generation: China’s post-60s generation benefited from rapid economic growth, with higher salaries and more valuable homes. They have cash, property, and pensions.
  • Strong Spending Power: They have money and are willing to spend it on travel, health care, luxury retirement communities, and investment products.
  • Rational Investing: Although the elderly are more conservative with their investments, they have large sums of money and seek stability. They are an important stabilizer in the financial market.

What Does This Mean for You? If you’re in the finance, services, or luxury goods industries, pay close attention to the elderly market. They have money and plenty of time, making them valuable customers. Also, be aware of the generational wealth transfer, as a large amount of wealth will pass from the elderly to the younger generation, involving trusts, insurance, and estate planning.

5. Independence Revolution: From “Relying on Children for Support” to “Self-Control”

Plain Language: In the past, the elderly relied on their children for care. Now, more and more elderly people choose to live independently.

  • Not Wanting to Be a Burden: Especially the post-60s generation, who are the parents of only children, understand the pressures their children face. They prefer to solve their own problems without adding to their children’s burdens.
  • Independent Lifestyle: They prefer to live alone or with their spouses, arrange their own travel and social activities, and reject the feeling of being cared for. They value dignity and freedom.
  • High Social Engagement: They volunteer, participate in community activities, and continue working. They are not a burden on society but contribute to it.
  • Changing Attitudes: Society is also changing, no longer viewing the elderly as declining individuals but as a source of experience and wisdom. Policies are moving towards supporting independent living.

What Does This Mean for You? Elderly care services should not just provide basic care but also empower the elderly. This includes providing social spaces, interest courses, health management, and legal and financial advice to help them stay independent and active. Respecting their independence is key to gaining their trust.

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🚀 Action Tips for Everyone

1. Adjust Your Mindset: Don’t fear aging, and don’t underestimate the elderly. Longevity is the norm; health, wealth, and independence are the goals.

2. Plan Ahead:

  • Health: Start managing your health now; investing in health is investing in your future quality of life.
  • Wealth: Don’t rely solely on savings. Consider diversifying your investments with stable financial products and insurance, especially those that protect against the risk of living longer than your money lasts.
  • Cognition: Keep learning and embrace new technologies to stay connected with society.

3. Seize Opportunities: If you’re an entrepreneur or investor, the “Age of Longevity” economy represents the biggest opportunity in the next 20-30 years. There’s huge potential in medical health, elderly care, elderly education, and age-friendly adaptations.

In One Sentence: In the Age of Longevity, “old age” is not the end but the beginning of the second half of life. Whoever is ready to embrace this new era of longer, healthier, richer, and more independent lives will win the future.