虎嗅

"Three years of learning from Huawei, and has Ideal lost its own identity in the process?"

原文:学华为三年,理想把自己学丢了?

Hello! I'm your financial news analysis assistant. This in-depth report on Li Auto contains a wealth of information, covering not only financial data but also the underlying logic of the brand's strategy and organizational management.

To help you easily understand why this once "most profitable" new entrant in the automotive industry has now found itself in a position of significant losses, I have broken down this long article into a Core Summary and a Five-Dimensional In-Depth Analysis.

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📝 Core Content Summary

In one sentence:

Li Auto is going through a period of intense turmoil as its old model is failing, and its new model has not yet taken hold. The initial success it gained from its "range-extended + large sofa" approach is being quickly replicated by competitors and eroded by price wars, leading to a sharp decline in profits. Meanwhile, its attempt to improve its organization by "learning from Huawei" has caused internal strife, forcing it to abandon the Huawei-style management and instead bet on its own technology development and a shift to all-electric vehicles.

Key Data Comparison:

  • Past (2023): Net profit of 11.8 billion yuan, making it the third most profitable new entrant in the global market, with a gross profit of over 50,000 yuan per vehicle.
  • Current (first half of 2026): Net loss of 4 billion yuan, with a gross profit per vehicle dropping to 23,000 yuan, declining sales, and the first half-year report showing a loss.
  • Future Bet: The company is focusing on the i9 all-electric flagship, its own chip development, the three-electric system (battery, motor, and controller), and a transformation into an "AI-enabled intelligent company."

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🔍 Five-Dimensional In-Depth Analysis

1. Where Did the Money Go? — The Financial Truth from "Money Maker" to "Loss Generator"

Many people only look at the financial statements to see how much money was lost, but the real question is why the losses occurred. Li Auto didn't lose money due to wasteful spending; rather, it lost its ability to generate profits.

  • Less Profit per Vehicle Sold: Previously, Li Auto could earn a gross profit of over 50,000 yuan from each vehicle sale. Now, due to industry-wide price wars and the company's own price cuts to maintain sales, the profit has dropped to 23,000 yuan per vehicle. This 27,500 yuan difference is the main source of Li Auto's profit erosion. It's like running a restaurant: if you used to earn 10 yuan per bowl of noodles, and now you only earn 4 yuan to keep customers, the total profit is halved.
  • Declining Sales: Not only is the profit per vehicle lower, but sales volumes have also decreased. In the first half of 2026, Li Auto's deliveries fell by 11.5% year-over-year.
  • Still Solid, but Cutting Back on Expenses: Li Auto still has 87.5 billion yuan in cash, which is enough for 40 months of operations. However, the current situation indicates that there are issues with revenue generation, and the company is having to cut costs (such as hiring fewer employees and reducing promotional activities). For a company that used to grow rapidly, this is a sign of trouble.

2. Has the Moat Disappeared? — The Foundation of the "Dad-Car" Market Has Been Completely Eroded

Li Auto's success relied on a simple strategy: targeting parents aged 35 and above, offering a comfortable experience with "refrigerators, TVs, and large sofas," and using range-extended technology to address concerns about battery life. This strategy was almost invincible before 2022 because no one else was doing it.

  • Competitors Copying the Strategy: Huawei's M7/M9 models directly competed with Li Auto's products and even used Huawei's strong retail channels, surpassing Li Auto in sales. Other companies like Xpeng, NIO, and Xiaomi have also adopted large-battery range-extended technology, turning Li Auto's technological advantages into industry standards.
  • Lost in Competitive Parameters: While Li Auto's L9 had a large battery as a selling point, now Xpeng's D19 and Xiaomi have even larger batteries, leaving Li Auto behind in this category.
  • Challenged Retail Channels: Li Auto's stores were once very popular, but now sales per store have dropped by more than 25%. Some stores in Shanghai's Lujiazui area have closed, and production lines in Changzhou have been shut down, with workers working three days a week and resting four. This shows that the market no longer values Li Auto's brand premium, and consumers are becoming more price-sensitive.
  • Conclusion: Li Auto's "moat" was essentially a temporary advantage (before competitors caught up). Now that the advantage is gone, the company must find a new growth path, which is through all-electric vehicles.

3. Brand Dilemma: — The "Dad-Car" Label Becomes a Double-Edged Sword

Li Auto's brand positioning was very precise, but it also locked in a specific target audience.

  • Side Effects of the Label: The "dad-car" label was appealing to 35-year-old families, but it has become off-putting to younger consumers. As the penetration rate among this target group has peaked, Li Auto is struggling to attract new customers.
  • Three Failures with All-Electric Models: Li Auto tried to break away from this label with all-electric models (the i series), but faced setbacks:

1. MEGA: The design was controversial, sales were below expectations, and the model was recalled due to battery issues, ending the company's consecutive profitable quarters.

2. i8: After its launch, prices were cut, and the model faced criticism for its resemblance to an MPV, resulting in poor sales and even the shutdown and relocation of production lines.

3. i6: Although it sold well, it did so at a low price (starting at 249,800 yuan), using profits to gain market share rather than enhancing the brand image.

  • A Difficult Position: Li Auto is in a dilemma: it wants to move up with the i9 at a price of over 450,000 yuan, repeating the unsuccessful MEGA strategy; at the same time, it wants to expand into lower-tier markets with cheaper models. This puts pressure on its brand integrity.

4. Internal Struggles: — The Resistance to "Learning from Huawei"

To improve efficiency, Li Auto adopted Huawei's management model (processes, evaluations, and regional divisions).

  • Short-Term Success, Long-Term Problems: In 2023, this model led to a surge in sales and profitability. However, it caused long-term issues:
  • Distorted Incentives: High sales commissions (up to 3,000 yuan per vehicle) led to salespeople giving discounts to customers and engaging in unfair practices, turning the direct sales team into independent entities.
  • Rigid Evaluations: Huawei's PBC system (compulsory rankings and targets) focused salespeople on short-term orders at the expense of customer experience and innovation.
  • Li Xiang's Realization: Li Xiang acknowledged that applying dealer-style management to a direct sales model was a mistake. Direct sales employees should focus on service and the brand, not just on sales volume.
  • Major Changes: In 2025-2026, Li Auto began to replace Huawei-appointed executives and abolished the five regional divisions, returning to central management and switching to OKR (Objectives and Key Results) evaluations. This was like a major organizational overhaul to remove the incompatible management system and regain control.

5. The Last Card: — The Bet on Technology and AI

Since the old approach is no longer working, Li Auto is betting on independent technology development and AI transformation.

  • The i9 as a Test: The upcoming i9 features Li Auto's second-generation all-electric platform, self-developed components (battery, motor, and controller), and a self-developed chip. If the i9 is successful, it will show that Li Auto can reduce its dependence on external suppliers. If not, it will lose its last competitive advantage.
  • Supply Chain Consolidation: Li Auto has invested in Xingwangda Power to secure battery production capacity and gain more control over its supply chain.
  • Transforming into an AI Company: Li Xiang no longer sees himself as just an automotive company but as an "AI company," with over 10 billion yuan in R&D investments in 2025, half of which will go towards AI. He hopes to use AI and robotics to find the next growth opportunity and cater to the capital market's interest in AI.
  • A Critical Moment: The market gives Li Auto little room for error. If the i9 can maintain monthly sales of over 8,000 units, losses will be reduced; if sales fall below 5,000 units for two consecutive quarters, it will face not just a drop in stock price but also survival challenges.

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💡 Lessons for Everyone

1. No Permanent Moats: Li Auto's success was based on differentiation, but this can be copied. Once your advantages become industry standards, you need to find new ones (such as technology or brand enhancement).

2. No One-Size-Fits-All Management: What works for Huawei may not work for Li Auto. Companies must adjust their management methods according to their unique circumstances; rigid application can lead to internal conflicts.

3. Dynamic Brand Positioning: A brand label that was once beneficial can become a limitation as the market changes. Brands need to evolve to stay relevant.

4. Cash Flow is Vital: Li Auto's cash reserves give it the confidence to make major changes and bet on new technologies. For any company or individual, maintaining sufficient cash flow is essential for surviving crises and waiting for opportunities.

In summary, Li Auto is like a racer changing engines. The old engine (range-extended vehicles + Huawei-style management) is worn out and no longer effective, while the new engine (all-electric vehicles + independent technology + AI) is still being installed. This process is painful and may even fail, but if successful, it will lead to a brighter future.