第一财经

The Pinglu Canal is now open for navigation; the "Golden Waterway" still needs to make breakthroughs in many areas

原文:平陆运河通航,黄金水道还要多方面突破

The Pinglu Canal Opens for Navigation: From Building a Road to Creating Business Opportunities – How Guangxi Expands Its Maritime Access

On September 16th, the century-long Pinglu Canal officially began operations. This is not just the opening of a new waterway but also a major reshuffle in the logistics landscape of southwestern China. For the general public, it means that transporting goods from regions such as Guangxi, Yunnan, and Guizhou to the sea will now have an additional, cheaper, and faster option.

However, as an economist and financial journalist, I need to provide both a realistic perspective and some reassurance: Building a road is easy; maintaining it is difficult. Making the canal operational is easy; generating profits is challenging. The transition from a construction project to a market-driven entity presents far greater challenges than simply digging and filling soil.

Here’s a detailed analysis of the implications of the Pinglu Canal’s opening, explained in plain language:

1. The Free Period is a Lure, but We Can’t Calculate Profit Only Based on Toll Fees

Many people wonder whether freight rates will increase or if a toll will be charged once the canal is in use. According to the news, there will be no toll for the first year, and starting in 2027, the fee will be 1 yuan per ton per trip. Officials state that this rate is moderate compared to national standards, and overall, using the canal is expected to reduce logistics costs by 18% to 30% compared to road and rail transport.

There’s a common misconception: people think the canal will rely on tolls to cover its costs, but that’s not the case. Expert Cao Jianfei explains that we should consider the broader benefits, such as the promotion of industries and the creation of jobs and tax revenue. In the short term, the free period serves as a promotional phase, similar to a new shopping mall offering discounts to attract customers. If the tolls are set too high, shippers may switch to other routes, rendering the canal ineffective. The goal of charging is not to recoup the investment but to maintain its competitiveness.

2. The Canal is Not a Replacement, but a Complement

Some worry that the Pinglu Canal will displace existing shipping routes like the Xijiang River and the Western Land-Sea Corridor Railway. However, these modes complement each other:

  • The Xijiang River is suitable for container cargo destined for Europe and America, as it is well-established and has regular ferry services.
  • The railway is fast, reliable, and unaffected by weather, making it ideal for high-value, time-sensitive shipments.
  • The Pinglu Canal, being shorter and cheaper, is perfect for bulk goods like minerals, grains, building materials, and fertilizers.

Expert Wang Guowen emphasizes that the canal’s strength lies in its predictability. In the past, shipping on the Xijiang River was uncertain during dry seasons. With its dual-gate system and coordinated operations, the canal offers more reliable delivery times.

3. The Key is to Create Business Opportunities Along the Route

The most critical aspect, often overlooked, is that the canal itself does not generate cargo. Even if the canal is built, it needs industries to thrive. Experts suggest focusing on developing industries that can benefit from water transport, such as large manufacturing plants and processing centers, to create a demand for cargo.

4. How Will the Three Ports—Nanning, Guigang, and Qinzhou—Divide the Benefits?

The opening of the canal connects three key ports: Nanning, Guigang, and Qinzhou. How will they coordinate their roles? The plan is for them to work together in a complementary manner, with each serving specific needs:

  • Qinzhou will handle international and container shipping.
  • Nanning will serve as a distribution hub for inland areas.
  • Guigang will act as a transfer point between the Xijiang River and the canal.

5. Beyond Freight: The Potential for Tourism and Cultural Development

The canal also has potential for non-commercial uses, such as tourism and cultural services. This adds diversification to its revenue sources and enhances its appeal, both domestically and internationally.

In summary, the success of the Pinglu Canal depends on the development of industries along its route. It’s not just about the physical infrastructure but also about how well it integrates into the regional economy and provides value to users. For the people of southwestern China, it means cheaper and faster transportation for goods, and for investors and businesses, it presents opportunities in logistics, real estate, and related services.

The opening of the Pinglu Canal marks a new phase in the region’s logistics development. In the short term, the canal will attract bulk cargo due to its cost advantages. In the medium term, its efficiency and coordination with other transport modes will be crucial. In the long term, its sustainability will depend on the establishment of industries along its route. For the general public, it means improved access to goods and services, while for businesses, it presents valuable opportunities for investment and growth.