第一财经

Private banks raise deposit interest rates against the trend; 5-year deposit rates are also gradually returning to normal.

原文:民营银行逆势上调存款利率,5年期存款也渐次回归

Has the deposit market changed? WeBank has quietly raised interest rates—what’s behind this move?

Hello everyone, I’m your financial analyst. Recently, if you’ve been paying attention to deposit rates, you might have noticed something a bit “abnormal”: despite the overall trend of declining interest rates, some banks have started to compete for deposits.

In particular, WeBank, often referred to as the leader among private banks, has quietly increased the interest rate for 3-year deposits from 1.6% to 1.75%. It’s like someone suddenly raising the price when everyone else is offering discounts. Is this a sign of the banks going mad, or has the market direction changed?

Don’t worry; let’s break down this news and explain the logic behind it in simple terms.

Summary: It’s not a “rate hike trend,” but rather a “strategic adjustment” by individual banks

First of all, let’s clarify the context: This is not the beginning of a general increase in deposit rates; it’s a “phase-specific” and “targeted” strategy by certain banks. Most banks are still focused on reducing their interest costs, while only a few private banks (such as WeBank and NetBank) are raising rates slightly to attract depositors due to specific operational pressures (such as a shortage of funds or issues with their previous business models). Experts say this is a sign of differentiation, not a reversal in the overall trend.

Understanding the “deposit competition” from five perspectives

1. Who is making the move? Why is WeBank raising rates against the trend?

  • Observation: WeBank’s move was very subtle, only affecting 3-year deposits, with the rate rising from 1.6% to 1.75%. Other terms remained unchanged. Meanwhile, NetBank and SuShang Bank also reintroduced 5-year deposit products with rates as high as 1.8%-1.85%.
  • Explanation: It’s like a large supermarket (WeBank) that usually sells apples for 1.6 yuan per pound but suddenly raises the price of a specific variety to 1.75 yuan. Why?
  • Locking in long-term funds: Banks fear using short-term funds for long-term loans. If depositors only deposit for 1 or 3 months, banks won’t have the funds for long-term lending. By raising the 3-year rate, WeBank aims to attract customers willing to deposit for 3 years and alleviate the mismatch between short and long-term funding.
  • Precise marketing: The fact that they didn’t raise rates across all products indicates they don’t want to increase overall costs; they’re targeting specific customers interested in 3-year deposits. This is a targeted approach rather than a widespread strategy.

2. Why were certain products withdrawn, and now they’re back?

  • Observation: In June, many private banks (such as Zhongguancun and SanXiang) withdrew 5-year and 3-year deposit products. Now, these products have returned.
  • Explanation: Banks were trying to save costs. In June, they found that long-term deposit rates were too high and unprofitable, so they stopped offering them to encourage customers to deposit for shorter periods. In September, they realized they needed more long-term funds and had to reintroduce these products with slightly higher rates to attract depositors.
  • Essence: Banks are constantly balancing cost-saving measures and the need for funds.

3. A “dual-track” deposit market: Large banks lower rates, small banks raise them

  • Observation: Previously, large banks (such as ICBC, ABC, and CCB) were the first to lower rates, followed by smaller banks. Now, most banks are reducing long-term rates, while a few are raising them.
  • Explanation: The market is no longer uniform. Large banks have low funding costs and many customers, so they don’t need to offer high rates. Small and private banks, with weaker customer bases and higher funding costs, must raise rates for certain products to survive.
  • Impact: Large banks offer lower rates, while some private banks offer higher rates for specific products, reflecting differences in their financial positions and pressures.

4. The impact of declining performance on private banks

  • Observation: 19 private banks disclosed their上半-year results, and many saw significant declines in net profit, with some even experiencing asset shrinkage.
  • Explanation: This is the main reason. Many private banks relied on lending to internet platforms (like JD.com, Meituan, and Pinduoduo) for revenue. With stricter regulation or changes in these platforms’ business models, these sources of income have dried up. Banks are struggling to maintain operations and lending, so they need to attract more deposits.
  • Logic: Declining lending means fewer funds, so they need to raise rates to support their assets.
  • Exceptions: NetBank performed well, with a 36% increase in net profit, indicating a more stable business model. However, this could also be a strategy to reinforce its competitive position.

5. Innovative deposit products: “Combination deposits” as a new marketing tactic

  • Observation: Hunan SanXiang Bank introduced “combination deposits,” where 30% of the funds are deposited for 6 months, 30% for 1 year, and 40% for 3 years, with a 3-year rate of 2.05%, but these products can’t be purchased separately.
  • Explanation: Banks are trying new methods to attract deposits. By offering a mix of short- and long-term terms, they aim to balance high interest rates with cost control. For customers, this can be more attractive if they have surplus funds and are willing to lock in their capital for a longer period.

Suggestions for ordinary depositors

1. Don’t rush to higher rates: Don’t immediately deposit money at a bank with higher rates just because it seems attractive. Consider the bank’s financial situation; the rate increase might be temporary and could decrease later.

2. Balance long-term and short-term options: If you plan to deposit for 3 years, compare the rates offered by WeBank, NetBank, and other private banks. Note that private banks often have fewer branches and rely on apps; make sure you’re familiar with their procedures.

3. Be cautious of combination products: If a bank recommends a combination deposit, calculate the average rate and ensure you understand the terms. Don’t just focus on the highest rate; consider the overall cost.

4. Diversify your deposits: Spread your money across different banks. Large banks are safer but offer lower rates, while private banks offer higher rates but may have different service levels. Choose based on your needs.

In summary, WeBank’s rate hike is a tactical move due to declining lending activities. As depositors, you can use this opportunity to compare rates and find the best deals, but stay rational and understand the underlying reasons.