虎嗅

Peter Thiel Believes in Only One Kind of Freedom

原文:彼得·蒂尔只相信一种自由

This article reveals a seemingly contradictory yet logically coherent picture by examining Peter Thiel's intensive activities over the past six months. The Silicon Valley pioneer is attempting to find a "lawless territory" on a global scale where he can completely escape regulation and achieve the ultimate expansion of capital and technology, using a political philosophy packaged in theological terms.

In-depth Analysis of the Financial News:

Summary of Key Content

Peter Thiel's recent actions have been exceptionally active and radical: he publicly criticized the Pope at the Aspen Forum, promoting the theory of the "Antichrist" to oppose global AI regulation; he heavily invested in the chip company Etched, which saw its valuation soar; he moved his family to Argentina, invested in the local shale oil industry, and pushed the government to pass an extremely lenient "AI-friendly" bill.

The core logic behind his actions is that Thiel believes that global multilateral institutions such as the United Nations and the European Union, as well as religious authorities like the Pope, are constructing a global regulatory Leviathan under the guise of "safety" and "ethics," which will stifle technological innovation and individual freedom. To combat this "totalitarianism," he has allied with Argentine President Mauricio Macri, taking advantage of Argentina's need for foreign investment to create an experimental ground free from international rules that would allow for the existence of "unhuman companies." His approach is not about escaping reality but about actively building a parallel world that aligns with his anti-conventional philosophy.

Detailed Interpretation

1. Criticizing the Pope: Not a Misstep, but a Political Statement Against Global Regulation

Many see Thiel's criticism of Pope Leo XIV at Aspen as madness or a personal vendetta. However, it is a carefully orchestrated geopolitical stance:

  • The Pope's Position: The Pope issued a decree calling for global unified regulation of AI, even suggesting its "disarmament" due to its potential to exacerbate inequality, akin to nuclear weapons.
  • Thiel's Counterargument: Thiel reframe the debate as a geopolitical game. He argues that if the United States follows the Pope's advice and restricts AI development, China will not stop. This would result in the U.S. weakening itself and losing to its competitor.
  • The Essence: Thiel's disdain is not for AI itself but for "transnational coordination." He believes that any rules requiring global standards will ultimately create a superpower that transcends nations. By criticizing the Pope, he is actually criticizing all those who seek to establish such global norms, including the EU and the UN. He aims to portray his opponents as an "unrelenting evil force" so that his tech giants can gain the exemption to expand freely for the sake of national security.

2. The Theory of the "Antichrist": Cloaking Capitalism in Religious Language

Thiel's recent promotion of the "Antichrist" concept may sound esoteric, but it essentially means that he fears not the devil but "consensus":

  • What is the "Antichrist" in his view? In Thiel's framework, the devil of the 21st century is not a monstrous being but a technocrat who preaches "peace, safety, and human welfare" while using fear (such as AI out-of-control or climate crisis) to make humanity willingly hand over its sovereignty to a unified regulatory body.
  • Why called "Antichrist"? Because this power erases all debates about truth, replacing individual freedom with a technocratic consensus. To Thiel, this represents the ultimate form of totalitarianism—where you don't even realize you're being oppressed because you "voluntarily" give up your freedom for safety.
  • Business Motivation: This theological theory serves as his business defense. His company Palantir deals with surveillance data, and strict regulation would hinder its operations. The AI companies he invests in need a relaxed environment; if everyone had to obtain AI licenses and undergo ethical audits, costs would skyrocket. By portraying regulators as "agents of the devil," he turns a secular debate about industry policy into a battle of good and evil, thereby gaining a moral high ground.

3. Investing in Etched Chips: Seeking "New Power" in the Shadow of Nvidia

Thiel's moves in the chip industry reveal his dual nature of opposing monopolies while simultaneously creating new ones:

  • Why Invest in Etched? The AI chip market is currently dominated by Nvidia, representing "old power." Etched focuses on "inference chips" (used to answer user questions, not train models). As AI applications become more widespread, the demand for inference chips will exceed that for training chips, and they are more sensitive to power consumption and cost. Thiel is betting on this market shift.
  • The Logic Behind the Valuation Surge: Etched's valuation quadrupled from $5 billion to $21 billion in seven months, not just due to technological breakthroughs but also because of political support. High-frequency trading giants like Jane Street led the investment, indicating Wall Street's optimism about its potential to challenge Nvidia's dominance.
  • The Contradiction: Thiel criticizes Anthropic, another cutting-edge AI company, as a "woke liberal," yet he supports Etched's rapid growth. He dislikes the monopoly of Nvidia but is helping Etched become a new, unquestionable power center. His goal is not to break monopolies but to ensure this new entity listens to him or at least aligns with his anti-global regulation philosophy.

4. The Argentine Experiment: Trading Oil and Sovereignty for a "Lawless Territory"

Thiel's move to Argentina is not about vacationing but about "colonizing":

  • Why Argentina? Under President Macri, Argentina is implementing extreme right-wing policies: cutting welfare, deregulation, and embracing a free market. This is ideal for Thiel, as there are no cumbersome AI regulations like those in the EU or the increasing AI security concerns in the U.S.
  • The "Super RIGI" Bill: The Macri government's bill offers 30 years of tax, customs, and foreign exchange exemptions for AI data centers. This seems attractive but comes with significant costs:
  • Sovereignty Transfer: The 30-year exemption locks in future governments' actions.
  • Labor Rights Vacuum: The bill allows for the existence of "unhuman companies" operated entirely by algorithms, without employees or shareholder responsibilities, leaving workers' rights and accident liabilities unresolved.
  • Energy Dependency: Thiel invests heavily in Argentine shale oil because AI requires substantial energy. He buys Argentina's energy supply, thus participating in this political gamble.
  • The Reality: Thiel is creating a "tech enclave" where capital can expand indefinitely, algorithms operate without ethical constraints, and the local population provides cheap labor and land while bearing environmental and social risks.

5. The Protesters of "Gandalf of the South": The Clash between Idealism and Reality

The protests mentioned at the end of the article highlight the practical resistance Thiel's plans face:

  • Protesters' Anger: Young people in Buenos Aires call themselves "Gandalf of the South" and chant "You shall not pass." They are angry not about Thiel personally but about a future stripped of their rights.
  • They fear that data centers will overburden the power grid and cause power outages.
  • They oppose turning their country into a dumping ground for multinational capital and a testing ground for new technologies.
  • They resent Thiel's arrogance of deciding their fate.
  • Thiel's Dilemma: Thiel has always sought a place that embraces his unconventional ideas. He escaped Germany's conservatism, Silicon Valley's conformity, and Washington's political correctness, but Argentina is not isolated; it has real people with aspirations for fairness and dignity.
  • The Ultimate Irony: Thiel uses the concept of the "Antichrist" to criticize global regulation as totalitarian, but the "unhuman companies" and 30-year tax exemptions he promotes in Argentina are a more hidden and thorough form of capitalistic totalitarianism. He aims to create a system without responsibility or constraints, focusing solely on efficiency. The protests are a natural response to this dehumanizing approach.

Conclusion: Is Thiel Fleeing or Chasing Something?

Thiel's journey seems like an escape from regulation, but it is actually a pursuit of an absolute freedom—freedom from moral, legal, and even human emotional constraints:

  • He criticizes the Pope because the Pope represents moral constraints.
  • He criticizes Anthropic because it represents safety consensus.
  • He invests in Etched because it represents technological breakthroughs.
  • He goes to Argentina because it represents a regulatory vacuum.

However, he overlooks a key question: Freedom does not have no boundaries; the boundaries are determined by who sets them. Thiel tries to create boundaries that benefit only him, where he is god and everyone else is just data.

The article ends with a reference to Solzhenitsyn's question: "Do you believe in Christ yourself?" This question also applies to Thiel's business empire: You claim to oppose totalitarianism, but is the system you build even more ruthless than totalitarianism?

In front of his mansion in Buenos Aires, Thiel faces not the magic of Gandalf but the defense of ordinary people's right to control their own fate. This battle has just begun.