虎嗅

Why is Yanjing Beer moving the fastest after being left behind for a decade? Are there any risks?

原文:掉队十年后,为何是燕京啤酒跑得最快,有没有风险?

Yanjing Beer's "Comeback" and "Hidden Concerns": A Dual Performance of State-Owned Enterprise Reform and a Best-Selling Product

Hello everyone, I'm your financial journalist. Today, we're going to talk about a very typical case of "coming back from the dead" in the beer industry—Yanjing Beer.

If you only look at the numbers, you might think this is a star company experiencing rapid growth. But if you look at the long-term trend, you'll see that it once hit rock bottom and even fell far behind its competitors. While the entire beer industry was struggling in the first half of 2024, Yanjing Beer delivered impressive results, with its net profit increasing by nearly 27%.

What exactly happened behind the scenes? Was it luck, or was it real skill? Today, we'll break down this business turnaround into five key aspects in plain language to help you understand.

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1. Contrast in the Background: Why Was It the Only One Flourishing When the Industry Was Struggling?

First, we need to understand how cold the overall environment was.

In the first half of 2024, the Chinese beer industry performed very poorly. The production of enterprises above a certain size only increased by 0.2%, and sales even declined in the traditional peak seasons of May and June. Looking at other giants, China Resources Beer's net profit fell by 10.7%, Tsingtao Beer's revenue decreased, and Chongqing Beer's revenue and profit both dropped.

It's like the whole class failed the exam, except for one person who got a high score.

Against this backdrop, Yanjing Beer's results stand out: its net profit was 1.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.86%; its non-recurring net profit (real earnings after excluding one-time gains) increased by a whopping 33.16%. It was the only company in the top tier to achieve simultaneous growth in both sales and profit.

Core Interpretation: This shows that Yanjing Beer's growth wasn't due to industry-wide benefits (since there were none), but rather through internal reforms and the competitiveness of its products. This kind of growth against the odds is highly valuable, but it also means it faces greater challenges than when things were going smoothly.

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2. Historical Review: From "Number One in the Country" to "Falling Behind for a Decade"—What Were the Root Causes?

To understand its current success, we need to look at its past failures. Yanjing Beer's decline is a microcosm of the transformation struggles of traditional state-owned enterprises in China.

  • Highlights: In 1995, it had the highest production in the country; in 2008, it became an Olympic sponsor; in 2013, its revenue set a record. Back then, Yanjing and Tsingtao Beer were recognized as the two leading players.
  • Turning Point: 2014. That year, Chinese beer sales peaked, and the industry's logic changed from "who sells the most" to "who sells the most and makes the most profit."
  • Root Causes: Slow Response, Stiff Mechanisms: When China Resources and Tsingtao Beer started focusing on higher-end products, Yanjing stuck to its "fresh" series and priced its products low, hoping to make money through volume sales. As a result, it lost the high-end market and couldn't compete in the low-end market.
  • Consequences: From 2014 to 2020, its net profit dropped from 726 million yuan to 197 million yuan, losing more than 500 million yuan in just seven years, and it completely fell out of the top tier.

Core Interpretation: Yanjing's previous failures weren't due to poor product quality, but rather strategic inertia. During the critical period when the industry shifted from focusing on scale to profit, it chose the most conservative and comfortable, yet also the most risky, path.

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3. The Key Variable: How Did a "Layman" Chairman Revitalize an Old State-Owned Enterprise?

In May 2022, a key figure took the helm: Geng Chao.

Note that Geng Chao is a layman with no prior experience in the beer industry, but he brought expertise in state-owned enterprise reform. This was exactly what the company needed.

Upon taking office, he didn't waste time on trivial matters and immediately launched nine major reforms, which can be summarized in three main points:

1. Streamlining: He reduced the product line, cutting out unprofitable and resource-consuming products to focus on core products.

2. Flat化管理: He made decision-making faster and eliminated bureaucratic layers.

3. Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement: He digitized the supply chain, centralized procurement, and ensured every penny was spent where it mattered most.

How Effective Were These Reforms?

  • Profit Increased Sevenfold: Net profit soared from 228 million yuan in 2021 to 1.679 billion yuan in 2025.
  • Net Margin Soared: From 1.9% (making 1.9 yuan on every 100 yuan in sales) in 2021 to 10.95% in 2025.
  • Cost Ratio Declined: In the first half of 2025, the combined ratio of sales, management, and financial expenses to revenue decreased by 4.03 percentage points.

Core Interpretation: This profit increase wasn't achieved by cutting costs; it was due to improved efficiency. Geng Chao introduced market-oriented practices into the state-owned enterprise, giving the company new vitality and flexibility. This is the institutional foundation of Yanjing's turnaround.

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4. The Core Driver: How Does a 8-Yuan Beer Sustain the Entire Company?

Reforms need a focal point, and that point is Yanjing U8.

Yanjing U8 was launched in 2019 but didn't become a hit until now. Why has it become the savior?

1. Precise Pricing: The actual selling price is around 6 yuan. It's a bit more expensive than ordinary industrial lager (3-5 yuan) but much cheaper than premium beers (over 15 yuan). It targets the young consumer who wants a good quality beer without paying too much.

2. Sales Surge: Sales of U8 increased from 390,000 liters in 2022 to 900,000 liters in 2025.

3. Leading the Way: In the first half of 2025, U8's sales grew by 125,800 liters, while the company's total sales only increased by 75,200 liters. This means that without U8, Yanjing's overall sales would have declined. U8 is driving the company's growth.

4. Upgrading the Brand: U8 raised Yanjing's average selling price to 3,429.89 yuan per kilogram, transforming it from a "low-end beer producer" to a "mid-to-high-end beer producer."

Additionally, Yanjing introduced the more expensive A10 ( priced at 12 yuan), creating a dual-product strategy with U8 as the foundation and A10 as the premium option.

Core Interpretation: Yanjing's turnaround is essentially a victory in product structure upgrading. It no longer relies on selling cheap beer by volume but on a single product that meets the growing consumer demands for quality. This is the product foundation of its success.

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5. Future Risks: After Securing the Fourth Place, What Are the Next Challenges?

Yanjing Beer has now surpassed Chongqing Beer in both revenue and profit, reclaiming the fourth position in the industry (top five: China Resources, Tsingtao, AB InBev, Carlsberg, Yanjing).

The capital market is optimistic, seeing this as a model of state-owned enterprise reform success. However, as analysts, we must also consider the potential risks:

1. Overreliance on One Product: U8 accounts for a significant portion of the company's growth, indicating that other products are declining. What if U8 becomes less popular or competitors launch similar products?

2. Slowing Growth: The net profit growth rate dropped from 60% in the first quarter to 20.99% in the second quarter. U8's market share has a ceiling, and it can't maintain growth above 25% forever. What will sustain growth when the initial momentum fades?

3. Cooling Industry: The combined net profit of the top five companies decreased from 16.8% last year to 2.57% in the first half of this year. Competition in the high-end market is intensifying. Can A10 replicate U8's success? There's no clear answer yet, and the high-end market is already crowded with competitors like AB InBev and Tsingtao.

Core Interpretation: Yanjing has shown it can create a hit product like U8, but the next challenge is to create similar products. The decade of decline is behind it, but returning to the top tier depends on whether its product lineup can be just as revitalized as its management reforms.

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Conclusion

Yanjing Beer's story is a classic example of the combination of "institutional reform" and a best-selling product.

  • Internally: Geng Chao's reforms addressed issues with personnel and management, improving efficiency.
  • Externally: The success of Yanjing U8 solved problems with products and the market, leading to increased profits.

For everyone, this story teaches us that during industry transformation, speed of response is more important than scale. In an era of competitive markets, identifying precise consumer needs (like U8's target market) is more effective than blind expansion.

For investors and observers, the story is just beginning. Who will take over after U8? That's the real challenge for Yanjing Beer next.