虎嗅

Lu Ziheng: We used AI to exhaustively analyze 200,000 materials and discovered a problem worth 1 billion yuan.

原文:陆子恒:我们用AI穷举了20万种材料,知道了一个价值10亿的问题

Summary of Key Points

This article explores how AI is revolutionizing the development of new materials by utilizing three models: MatterSim (forward prediction), MatterGen (reverse generation), and MatEvolve (integration of human expertise). These models address the centuries-old challenges of having an enormous search space and slow computation speeds in material research. The team used AI to exhaustively analyze over 200,000 materials and concluded that diamond has the highest thermal conductivity among solid-phase materials under normal temperature and pressure conditions. They have also established a closed-loop process from the design of ideal crystals to the synthesis of industrial-grade materials, transforming material development from a trial-and-error approach to precise selection, with potential economic benefits being enormous.

Detailed Breakdown

#### 1. The Challenge of Finding New Materials: AI as a Solution

What made finding new materials so difficult in the past?

  • Combination Explosion: The periodic table contains more than 100 elements, and the number of possible material combinations is exponentially large (for example, there are more stable carbon structures with 10 atoms than there are atoms in the universe).
  • Slow Computation: To determine material properties, one must solve the Schrödinger equation (simplified versions), which requires countless simulations to obtain results, taking weeks or even months.

The advantage of AI is that it can handle such exponential problems efficiently. Similar to how AlphaFold solved protein structure prediction, AI uses neural networks to replace traditional calculations, increasing speed by thousands of times, thus turning the task of finding new materials from a search through a vast ocean into a targeted search.

#### 2. MatterSim: Turning Trial and Error into Precise Selection

MatterSim is a tool for predicting material properties, capable of quickly and accurately forecasting the microscopic properties of any material (energy, strength, thermal conductivity, etc.).

  • Speed Revolution: While traditional methods take weeks to calculate the thermal conductivity of a crystal, MatterSim can do it in just 30 seconds to a few minutes with similar accuracy.
  • Exhaustive Analysis: The team used MatterSim to analyze over 200,000 materials (including single-element, binary, and some ternary combinations) and reached several key conclusions:
  • High thermal conductivity materials are extremely rare.
  • Candidates such as TaP and TaN were identified; their thermal conductivity is close to that of diamond.
  • Diamond has the highest thermal conductivity among solid-phase materials under normal conditions, eliminating the need for further expensive research.

Why is this conclusion worth billions? Fields like chip cooling and aerospace have been searching for materials with better thermal properties than diamond. Now that we know diamond is the best option, billions in research funding can be saved.

#### 3. MatterGen: Reverse Generation of Materials

While MatterSim predicts properties, MatterGen generates materials based on specific requirements.

  • Powerful Features: It allows for various constraints:
  • Element Constraints: For example, if only carbon, cobalt, oxygen, and lithium are available in the lab, the model will generate materials within these limits (such as lithium cobalt oxide for batteries).
  • Property Constraints: Creating strong magnets that do not contain rare earths or have high magnetic density.
  • Structural Constraints: Generating materials with specific crystal structures (common in research).
  • Limitations: Currently, MatterGen can only create new combinations from existing materials; it cannot completely innovate entirely new structures.

#### 4. MatEvolve: From Ideal Crystals to Marketable Industrial Materials

The previous models focus on ideal crystals with perfect structures and pure compositions, but industrial materials often have defects, impurities, or require special manufacturing processes. MatEvolve addresses this issue by integrating human expertise:

  • Integration of Human Knowledge: It uses reference literature and the knowledge of chemical experts (such as synthesis techniques and doping methods).
  • Closed-Loop Validation: The team used MatEvolve to design a new material, which was successfully synthesized, demonstrating that AI can move from theoretical concepts to practical applications.

This approach is cost-effective, as it leverages decades of human expertise without the need for expensive training of large models, bridging the gap between ideal and industrial materials.

#### 5. Future Prospects

In 10 years, material research laboratories might look like something out of science fiction:

  • Scientists will ask AI to design a super alloy for the next generation of armor.
  • AI will generate candidate materials, which will then be screened through computer simulations, followed by experimental verification using robots.
  • The entire process will be 100 times faster and 90% cheaper than today.

Although there are many types of materials (unlike in pharmaceuticals with established production processes), the demand in industries such as chips, batteries, and aerospace is high, so AI will accelerate the transformation of these sectors.

In One Sentence

AI has transformed material development from a process based on luck and intuition into one that allows for precise design based on specific needs. It not only saves time and money but also answers critical questions (e.g., whether diamond represents the upper limit in thermal conductivity). In the future, we might truly be able to use AI to create any material we desire.