虎嗅

"Mass production expected in about one and a half years"; the timeline for building cars is tight.

原文:“一年半左右量产”,追觅造车时间紧迫

Core Summary

Chimei Technology (originally a company that made robotic vacuum cleaners) is entering the new energy vehicle industry, planning to start mass production in about one and a half years, with a focus on overseas markets. It does not follow Xiaomi's heavy-capital approach of building its own factories and developing everything in-house; instead, it adopts Huawei's strategy of collaborating with car manufacturers for production while maintaining independent research and development of core technologies. Its goal is to produce luxury vehicles worth millions of yuan, including a "rocket car" that can accelerate from 0 to 100 kilometers per hour in one second. However, the company faces three major challenges: whether car manufacturers will be willing to use its technology, the financial pressure of sustained investment, and the complexities of system integration after mass production begins. Chimei also denies the possibility of repeating the same financial problems that LeEco encountered.

1. Chimei's "Huawei Model": No Factories, Cooperation Through Technology

Chimei's approach to car manufacturing is based on a "light-asset" model with a focus on technology transfer: it does not invest billions in building its own factories but relies on established car manufacturers for production (similar to Huawei's partnership with Seres to produce the Askar). Nevertheless, it insists on developing all its own core technologies, including intelligent chassis, electric motors, solid-state batteries, and in-vehicle chips. While this approach saves time and initial investment, the key question is whether car manufacturers will choose Chimei's technology over their own or that of other partners.

2. Why Target Luxury Vehicles Worth Millions? Avoiding Price Wars in China

The domestic new energy vehicle market below 200,000 yuan is highly competitive, with some companies experiencing losses per vehicle (with a gross profit margin as low as -31%). Chimei aims to avoid such losses by targeting the luxury market:

  • Setting prices above one million yuan for its vehicles;
  • Selling in overseas markets where Chinese luxury car brands have not yet established a presence (e.g., Australia);
  • Using a "N+1" strategy: aiming to create products that are better than the best available globally and thus earn higher profits to ensure positive cash flow.

3. Confidence in Entering the Industry: Well-Prepared, but Facing High Financial Pressures

Chimei began preparing for car manufacturing in 2021-2022 simultaneously with Xiaomi, which has already sold millions of vehicles. However, Chimei still needs about one and a half years to start mass production. Its confidence comes from:

  • Advance research and development in key technologies (such as solid-state batteries and chips);
  • Support from its parent company, which considers the automotive industry a critical strategic focus.

However, car manufacturing is a costly endeavor; industry experts estimate that at least 20-30 billion yuan in capital is required, with potential losses for 5-8 years (NIO took 10 years to turn profitable). Chimei plans to generate 40 billion yuan in revenue by 2025, but whether it will have sufficient funds for ongoing investment remains uncertain.

4. The Biggest Controversy: Is the "Rocket Car" a gimmick or Real Technology?

At its Silicon Valley launch event, Chimei showcased the Nebula NEXT 01 JET Edition, claiming to be capable of accelerating from 0 to 100 kilometers per hour in one second—a feat currently only achievable with rocket engines. This claim raises doubts about whether it is a publicity stunt or a sign of genuine technological capability. Car manufacturing involves strict standards such as automotive-grade certification and safety regulations, so the feasibility of this vehicle remains uncertain.

5. Denying LeEco's Legacy, but Financial Concerns Remain

Previously, Yu Hao mentioned the possibility of splitting the company for separate IPOs, reminiscent of LeEco's strategy of raising funds through multiple businesses, which raised concerns. Chimei quickly clarified that it does not intend to follow in LeEco's footsteps and claimed to have sufficient financial reserves, though the exact amount was not disclosed. The challenge lies in the fact that car manufacturing is a continuous money-draining process; even if Chimei has enough funds now, it will still need to invest heavily in supply chain management, marketing, and after-sales services. If future funding fails or sales of its vehicles are poor, financial issues could arise.

Conclusion

Chimei's approach to entering the car industry is clear: avoiding price wars and focusing on high-end overseas markets with a light-asset strategy to reduce risks. However, the barriers to entering this industry are higher than expected, with many uncertainties along the way, from technology partnerships to sustained financial investment and finally achieving mass production. Only when it starts mass production in one and a half years will we truly see how well its plan works.