虎嗅

The Fourth National-Level Metropolitan Area in the West, Racing to Become a City with a Population of Over 200,000

原文:西部第4个国家级都市圈,冲刺“双万城市”

Summary of Key Points

The Kunming Metropolitan Area has been officially approved as a national-level metropolitan area, becoming the fourth in the western region and the 21st in the country. It encompasses 12 districts and counties in Kunming, as well as Hongta District in Yuxi, Chengjiang, and four surrounding counties and cities in Honghe and Chuxiong, covering a total area of 37,000 square kilometers with a population of 14.2 million, accounting for more than 60% of Yunnan's economy. The approval is due to Kunming's limited status as the provincial capital (its GDP accounts for only 26% of the province's total, compared to 36.6% in Chengdu), and the failure to meet the "twin goals" of a GDP of one trillion yuan and a population of ten million. Yunnan's development is also hindered by its mountainous terrain, which makes it difficult to gather industries and populations. The aim of this metropolitan area is to strengthen Kunming's core position, promote cross-regional flow of resources, and create a growth hub that can drive the entire province forward, while leveraging its advantages in opening up to the south (connecting with Southeast Asia) to achieve these goals.

Why Establish the Kunming Metropolitan Area? —— Solving Issues of a "Weak Leader" and Dispersed Development

Although Kunming is the provincial capital, it lacks prominence: its GDP for 2025 is expected to be 863.7 billion yuan, accounting for only 26% of the province's total, which is more than 10 percentage points lower than that of Chengdu and Wuhan; its population of 8.74 million falls short of ten million by 1.26 million. Ninety percent of Yunnan is mountainous, and the development of the 16 cities and prefectures is dispersed, making it challenging to gather industries and populations in a manner similar to the plains in the east. Previously, efforts were made to drive development through the "Dianzhong Urban Agglomeration" (with Kunming as the main city and Qujing, Yuxi, etc. as secondary centers), but this approach was too broad and difficult to coordinate effectively. The new metropolitan area initiative brings together nearby counties and cities that can work together to strengthen Kunming's role as Yunnan's "engine," as a strong leader is essential for driving the entire province's progress.

What's the Difference Between a Metropolitan Area and an Urban Agglomeration? —— From a Broad Scope to a Focused Core

The previous Dianzhong Urban Agglomeration was a large network emphasizing collaboration among multiple cities; the Kunming Metropolitan Area, on the other hand, focuses on enhancing Kunming's influence. In simple terms:

  • Urban Agglomeration: Like a group of brothers working together with a wide range of participants (including Kunming, Qujing, and other cities and prefectures).
  • Metropolitan Area: More like a team centered around a leader (Kunming), with the focus on strengthening the leader's position and facilitating the flow of resources (talents, capital, industries) across different counties, achieving a "one-hour commute and one-hour living circle" (for example, commuting or seeking medical care in Yuxi as if it were part of the same city).

This represents a shift in Yunnan's development strategy: from trying to develop every area independently to first strengthening the leading city before driving progress in other regions.

What Gives Kunming the Edge for Growth? —— Industrial Division of Labor, Southward Opening Up, and Population Potential

To achieve the "twin goals," Kunming needs to identify the right growth drivers:

1. Industrial Division of Labor: The central urban area will focus on high-end activities (headquarters economy, technological innovation, international exchanges), the airport area will serve as a gateway to Southeast Asia, Anning will develop advanced manufacturing, and Jinning will focus on health and cultural tourism; surrounding areas like Yuxi will create a technology innovation corridor, Honghe will develop cultural and wellness tourism, and Chuxiong will promote green economy. This avoids competition for the same industries and promotes collaboration, creating a synergistic effect.

2. Unique Advantages in Southward Opening Up: Kunming's location as a gateway to Southeast Asia, with the China-Laos Railway and RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) agreements, offers opportunities for connecting with the region and conducting business (selling Yunnan's agricultural and manufacturing products or attracting investment from Southeast Asia), which is an advantage not available to many inland metropolitan areas.

3. Population Growth Potential: Kunming is the only city in Yunnan with a net population increase; the population grew by 2 million between the sixth and seventh national censuses. With an expected annual growth of 57,000 people by 2025, and with the development of transportation (such as the Chongqing-Kunming high-speed rail) and industries, attracting 100,000 to 200,000 new residents each year is feasible, making the goal of a ten-million population achievable.

Challenges to Overcome —— Lack of Innovation and Industrial Homogenization

For the Kunming Metropolitan Area to succeed, two major issues need to be addressed:

1. Insufficient R&D Investment: Yunnan's overall R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP is only 0.7%, and Kunming's is 0.69%, compared to over 6% in core cities in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta regions. Without sufficient investment in research and development, it will be difficult to develop new industries (such as artificial intelligence and high-end manufacturing), putting the region at a competitive disadvantage.

2. Severe Industrial Homogenization: In the past, cities within the Dianzhong Urban Agglomeration competed for similar resources (e.g., all focusing on tourism or agriculture). The new metropolitan area aims to transform this competition into collaboration, with Kunming focusing on research and development, Yuxi on pilot projects, and Anning on production, thus creating a cohesive industrial chain.

In summary, the approval of the Kunming Metropolitan Area is not just a symbolic gesture but marks the beginning of a concerted effort by Yunnan to achieve significant goals. By gathering resources, industries, and populations in Kunming and leveraging its advantages in opening up to the south, the goals of a "ten-million-population city" and driving regional development may soon become a reality.