第一财经

France Becomes the "European Furnace"! The "Heat Dome" Effect Sweeps Western Europe, and It's Going to Get Hotter in the Near Future

原文:法国成“欧洲火炉”!“热穹顶”效应席卷西欧,近期还会更热

Summary of Key Points

Recently, several countries in Western Europe have experienced extreme heatwaves caused by the "heat dome" phenomenon, breaking numerous historical records (such as France's hottest day since 1947 and Britain's hottest June on record). Climate change has significantly intensified the intensity and duration of these heatwaves. Due to inadequate infrastructure (buildings, air conditioning systems, power grids), Europe has struggled to cope, resulting in issues such as school closures, transportation disruptions, and power outages that have affected millions of people.

Detailed Analysis

1. Western Europe's Unprecedented Heatwave: Record-Breaking Temperatures

This heatwave is nothing short of an historic disaster:

  • France: On the 23rd, it was the hottest day since 1947, with temperatures exceeding 44°C in some areas. From the 25th to the 26th, three-quarters of the country (affecting millions of people) were under red alert. Schools in Paris were closed, and the Eiffel Tower and the Louvre had their opening hours reduced.
  • Britain: After the hottest June on record, temperatures in southern England reached 36°C, leading to the second red alert (the first time temperatures exceeded 40°C was in July 2022). Over 1,000 schools were closed, train services were canceled, and parliament allowed journalists to remove their coats (which is usually mandatory in formal settings).
  • Other Countries: Heat warnings were issued in 16 cities in Italy, and more than 100 million people in Spain, France, and Italy received alerts.

In short, Western Europe is currently experiencing conditions akin to being in a giant oven, with even normally cool areas becoming unbearably hot.

2. The Combined Impact of the "Heat Dome" and Climate Change

Many wonder why the heatwave has lasted so long and been so intense. The key lies in the combination of two factors:

  • The Heat Dome Effect: This phenomenon creates a high-pressure layer in the atmosphere that traps hot air near the ground, allowing the sun to bake the surface without any relief at night (unlike regular heatwaves). This is also the reason for the previous 48°C temperatures in India.
  • Climate Change: Although the heat dome is a natural phenomenon, global warming has made it more severe: ① The baseline temperature has risen by nearly 1.5°C compared to pre-industrial times; ② Heatwaves now last longer and are hotter. The World Meteorological Organization predicts that global temperatures will approach or break records in the next five years, with an 86% chance that one year between 2026 and 2030 will be the hottest on record.

It's like adding more fuel to a fire that was already burning hot.

3. Weak Infrastructure in Europe: Three Major Challenges

Why is Europe so vulnerable to heatwaves? It’s not a lack of effort to address the issue, but rather inadequate infrastructure:

  • Inhumane Buildings: Many buildings in Europe are made of stone, which insulates well but does not dissipate heat effectively. Approximately 60% of buildings in Paris are old Ottoman-style structures from the 19th century and are protected by law from modification. Installing air conditioning would be nearly impossible without the consent of the entire property owners’ association.
  • Limited Air Conditioning: Only 25% of households in France have air conditioning, and only 4% have fixed air conditioning systems (far lower than in Southern Europe). The air conditioning penetration rate is also low in Britain, with many areas lacking access to it altogether.
  • Vulnerable Power Grids: Heatwaves have caused transformers to explode in France, resulting in power outages for 68,000 households. Power grids prioritize supplying electricity to factories, leaving residents to suffer.

In essence, Europe’s infrastructure was designed for a cooler climate and is completely unprepared for such extreme heat.

4. The Consequences of Extreme Heat for People's Lives: From School Closures to Power Outages

Heatwaves are not trivial; they have a direct impact on daily life and the economy:

  • Disrupted Daily Life: Schools are closed, train services are canceled, and tourist attractions operate with reduced hours, affecting tourism. Families without air conditioning face increased risks of heat-related illnesses.
  • Health Risks: The meteorological authorities warn that the heat poses a life-threatening risk, especially for those without access to air conditioning.
  • Economic Losses: Factories may shut down due to the heat, reducing tourism revenue and increasing maintenance costs for power grids.

For example, the power outage in Brittany, France, not only affected residents but also potentially disrupted local business operations, causing significant economic impacts.

Conclusion

The recent heatwave in Western Europe is not an isolated event; it is the result of both climate change and outdated infrastructure. It highlights the need for immediate action: countries must either upgrade their infrastructure or accelerate efforts to reduce carbon emissions. Otherwise, future heatwaves may be even more challenging to handle. For individuals, it’s important to recognize that climate change is a real issue that affects our daily lives. Protecting the Earth is not just a slogan; it’s essential for our well-being.