第一财经

Apple Can't Take It Much Longer

原文:苹果扛不住了

Summary of Key Points

Apple has announced price increases for various products, including the iPad, Mac, and Vision Pro, due to the soaring prices of memory chips (caused by the surge in demand driven by the AI boom). The iPhone has not been affected for now, but it is possible that the iPhone Pro series will see price hikes later on. Upon this announcement, Apple's stock price plummeted by 6.12%, resulting in a loss of over $260 billion in market value; meanwhile, memory chip manufacturer Micron Technology saw a significant increase in its stock price of 15.74% due to its performance exceeding expectations. The shortage and price increases in memory chips are expected to continue until after 2027, with lower-end electronic products being the most impacted, while higher-end AI devices are relatively better able to withstand the cost pressures.

1. Why Did Apple Suddenly Raise Prices?

The direct reason for Apple's price increases is the "crazy rise in the prices of memory components." The news suggests that AI data centers are expanding rapidly and have a huge demand for memory chips to store data, leading to an unprecedented surge in global memory demand and prices. Apple has been absorbing these costs (for example, by earning less profit), but it can no longer afford to do so and has had to pass on the increased costs to consumers. In simple terms, AI has caused a significant increase in the demand for memory chips, and chip manufacturers have raised their prices, forcing Apple to follow suit.

2. Which Apple Products Have Seen Price Increases?

The price increases apply to the iPad, Mac, Vision Pro, and home devices; the iPhone has not been affected for now. The specific changes are as follows:

  • Internationally: The starting price of the MacBook Neo has increased from $599 to $699 ($100 increase); the 512GB MacBook Air has increased from $1099 to $1299 ($200 increase); the 1TB MacBook Pro has increased from $1699 to $1999 ($300 increase); the 128GB iPad Air has increased from $599 to $749 ($150 increase).
  • Domestically: The MacBook Neo has increased from 4,599 yuan to 5,499 yuan ($900 increase); the 13-inch MacBook Air has increased from 8,499 yuan to 9,999 yuan ($1,500 increase); the M5 Pro chip-powered MacBook Pro has increased from 17,999 yuan to 19,999 yuan ($2,000 increase); the M4 chip-powered iPad Air has increased from 4,799 yuan to 5,999 yuan ($1,200 increase).

These price increases range from 900 to 2,000 yuan, which is equivalent to spending the cost of a mid-range Android phone in addition to the price of a MacBook Air.

3. Apple's Stock Price Plunged, but Memory Manufacturers Are Laughing? The Logic Behind the Contradiction

Apple's stock price dropped by 6.12% overnight, resulting in a loss of $260 billion in market value. Why? Investors are concerned that the price increases may affect sales, as more expensive products might attract fewer buyers and impact Apple's profits. On the other hand, memory manufacturer Micron Technology saw a significant increase in its stock price due to its strong performance, which exceeded market expectations. Micron is a memory chip manufacturer, and the price increases directly benefited it; its latest quarterly results were better than expected, and it also stated that the shortage of memory chips will continue until after 2027. In other words, Apple is the victim of the price increases, while Micron is the beneficiary.

4. Will the iPhone See Price Increases?

Although the iPhone has not been affected yet, Steve Jobs has hinted that price hikes are inevitable. Analysts predict that the iPhone Pro and Pro Max may see price increases of around $100 (about 700 yuan), while lower-end models are likely to remain unchanged. This is because higher-end models generate more profit, and consumers are less sensitive to price changes; in contrast, lower-end models have thinner margins, and price increases could lead to a loss of customers. Not only Apple but also the entire industry's lower-end smartphone segment is being impacted. Industry insiders note that brand manufacturers previously cut orders when memory costs rose, but now they have no choice but to accept the price increases, as market space for these products is shrinking. Counterpoint analysts also point out that entry-level smartphones are the most affected by the memory cost increases, while higher-end AI-powered smartphones (such as flagship models) can better absorb the extra costs.

5. How Long Will the Memory Chip Price Increases Last?

Micron executives indicate that the shortage of memory chips will continue until after 2027, with improvement only expected in 2028. Industry insiders also suggest that the current shortage is a common occurrence, but the rate of price increases may slow down by the end of this year. This means that for the next two years, consumers purchasing electronic products (especially those that require large amounts of memory) will likely have to continue to bear higher prices, as chip manufacturers hold the power to set prices and consumer electronics companies are at a disadvantage.

In summary, Apple's price increases are not accidental but are a result of the intense competition for memory chips driven by the AI boom. Ordinary consumers who want to buy Apple products should either purchase the iPhone before the price increases or wait until the end of the year when prices may stabilize. For those considering lower-end smartphones, they should be prepared for potential price hikes or consider other options. Memory manufacturers, on the other hand, are likely to profit significantly in the coming years.