虎嗅

AI Makes Its Debut at the World Cup: How Many Points Will It Score?

原文:AI第一次参加世界杯,能打几分?

Summary of Key Points

The 2026 FIFA World Cup in the United States, Canada, and Mexico will be the one with the deepest integration of AI: from coaches' tactical analysis and referee assistance to fans' viewing experience, AI has become the "underlying operating system." While it offers weaker teams the opportunity to overtake on the curve and makes refereeing decisions more accurate as well as enhances the interactive aspect of watching matches, it also exposes risks such as tactical convergence, a data arms race, and privacy ethics issues. This World Cup is not just a football festivity but also a large-scale social experiment that demonstrates the deep integration of humans and AI—AI is a partner, but ultimately, it is human wisdom and the inherent uncertainty of football itself that determine the outcome of the games.

1. Is AI Really the "Twelfth Player" for Weaker Teams? Not So Simple

In the past, World Cups were dominated by powerful nations and large financial conglomerates; European giants could afford top scouts and data analysis teams, while small countries like Curacao (with a population of just over 100,000) had no such resources. However, AI has changed this landscape—now, weaker teams can use AI tools to analyze their opponents' data without the need to spend heavily on building their own teams. Nevertheless, having the tools does not mean knowing how to use them effectively; an AI report might span 47 pages, but the coach must distill it into a concise three-minute briefing for the team before the match. Thus, the advantage of stronger teams has shifted from "exclusive data" to the ability to "interpret data and make quick decisions." Weaker teams have new tools at their disposal, but whether they can use them wisely depends on the skill of their coaches.

2. Referees with "God-like Vision": Ending Controversies over Subtle Offside Decisions?

The semi-automatic offside technology used in the 2022 Qatar World Cup was criticized for its rough animations and slow decision-making. In 2026, this will be upgraded to an AI-based "god-like vision":

  • The Ball with Eyes: The official ball TRIONDA is equipped with high-precision sensors that record data 500 times per second—data is transmitted to the VAR room as soon as the ball is kicked.
  • Complete Body Data Capture: Cameras on the field monitor 29 key body points of each player (knees, shoulders, heels, etc.), and AI aligns the ball's movement with the players' positions in real time.
  • 3D Virtual Offside Detection: Each player is scanned before the match to create a 3D model, allowing VAR officials to see the "effective touch point" in three-dimensional space, eliminating disputes over minor discrepancies in centimeters.

Fans will also benefit from improved replay footage, which will no longer be dull technical diagrams but 3D animations that look exactly like the real players, down to their hairstyles and uniforms. The first-person perspective of the referee (with AI-stabilized images) gives fans a more intuitive understanding of what the referee saw, enhancing their faith in the officiating.

3. The Revolution in Home Viewing: From "Watching the Match" to "Playing with Data"

The 600 million television viewers will not just be passive observers this time; AI has transformed the viewing experience. For example, instead of editors making editorial decisions based on intuition, AI can analyze the game situation in real-time. When a player initiates a quick counterattack, the system automatically displays their historical sprint speeds and preferred scoring routes, helping fans instantly understand the strategy behind the move. Watching the match becomes more interactive, allowing them to engage with the data and gain a deeper understanding of the tactics.

4. The Double-edged Sword of AI

While AI offers many benefits, it also brings several challenges:

  • Tactical Convergence: If all teams use AI to find the "optimal strategy" (such as how to form a wall for free kicks or which counterattack route to take), the style of play may become uniform, reducing the chances of unexpected performances from talented players and diminishing the diversity and excitement of the sport. FIFA acknowledges this as a potential risk.
  • Data Arms Race: Although FIFA intended to democratize AI technology, stronger teams have signed custom AI agreements with tech companies, resulting in more accurate tools that better suit their tactical needs. This is similar to Formula 1 racing, where all cars use similar engines but the elite teams use aerodynamic packages to gain an edge. AI has not eliminated inequality; it has merely shifted the competition from the field to the code.
  • Privacy and Ethics: Players' physical data (running patterns, fatigue levels) are collected in real time, raising questions about who owns this information and what happens if it is leaked. FIFA's terms are buried in the participation agreement, leaving players with no room for negotiation. Additionally, AI's accuracy in identifying body structures can vary significantly for non-European athletes, potentially leading to unfair offside decisions.
  • Responsibility and Transparency: If AI makes a mistake, who bears the responsibility? The referee? The engineers? FIFA has not yet established an appeal mechanism, leaving AI as a possible scapegoat.

5. Conclusion: AI is a Partner, Not the Star

This World Cup marks the first time AI has been deeply integrated into football, but it cannot run or score goals, nor can it shout instructions from the sidelines. The team that wins will be the one that combines "human will" with "AI power" most effectively. For weaker teams, this is an opportunity to overtake on the curve; for stronger teams, it presents a new competitive landscape; for fans, it offers a deeper understanding of the game. However, we must not forget that the allure of football lies in its uncertainty—AI provides probabilities, not definitive outcomes. Legends are created by humans, and AI merely increases the likelihood of those legends happening slightly. The value of AI lies not in technical parameters but in the feedback from fans, players, and referees. After all, the charm of football extends beyond victories to the stories that algorithms cannot predict.