第一财经

The industry's largest single financing has been secured. Can KeLing AI compete head-on with ByteDance and Google? Does it have enough leverage to do so?

原文:行业最大单笔融资落定,可灵AI“单挑”字节谷歌,筹码够吗?

Summary of Key Points

On July 2, Kuaishou announced the spin-off of its AI video generation platform, KelingAI, for independent financing. The pre-investment valuation is $15 billion, with the potential to raise up to an additional $3 billion (totaling $18 billion post-investment), setting a new record for the largest single financing in the global video model sector. This move was necessitated by various factors: cost pressures (AI infrastructure investments squeezing profits), declining valuations (KelingAI’s value being overshadowed by traditional businesses), and intense industry competition (from rivals like ByteDance). With the funding, KelingAI will have the resources to compete in the video model market, but it must also achieve an IPO by 2031; otherwise, it will be required to repurchase investors’ shares at the original price plus an 8% annual interest. Additionally, KelingAI needs to quickly identify differentiated use cases and optimize costs to sustain its high valuation.

Detailed Analysis

Why Did Kuaishou Decide to Spin Off KelingAI?

Kuaishou has been struggling to support KelingAI: on one hand, it has invested heavily in AI infrastructure, leading to a decline in net profits; on the other hand, KelingAI’s value was limited by the lower valuation of Kuaishou’s traditional short-video businesses (advertising and e-commerce). The spin-off directly reflects this situation, as the pre-investment valuation of $15 billion represents more than 60% of Kuaishou’s parent company’s market value. In essence, Kuaishou can no longer afford to sustain KelingAI independently, and the split creates a win-win situation: it reduces its own financial burden while giving KelingAI the funds and space for growth.

Who Is Backing the $3 Billion Financing?

The list of investors is quite impressive:

  • Lead Investors: Professional firms such as CPE Yuanfeng and Guofang Venture Capital;
  • Industrial Partners: Alibaba Cloud (providing computing resources), Baidu (technical collaboration), and Tencent (a competitor but still an investor);
  • Entertainment Partners: Huace Film & Television (offering application scenarios for AI in the entertainment industry);
  • Government-Funded Funds: National-level (China Internet Investment Fund) and local (Beijing Artificial Intelligence Industry Fund).

These investors not only provide capital but also offer valuable resources such as computing power, use cases, and policy support. For example, Alibaba Cloud can help reduce KelingAI’s infrastructure costs, while Huace Film & Television can facilitate the integration of AI technology into film production.

What Challenges Does KelingAI Face After the Spin-Off?

  • Fierce Competition: Domestic competitor ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 is a direct rival, and internationally, KelingAI must compete with Google, which has world-class computing power and vast video data from YouTube;
  • Time Pressure for IPO: KelingAI must go public by 2031; otherwise, investors can demand the repurchase of their shares at the original investment price plus an 8% annual interest. This means it needs to establish a profitable business model within five years or face financial obligations;
  • Profitability Challenges: Despite rapid revenue growth (Q1 2026 revenue of $650 million, a 300% year-over-year increase), high costs for computing power and bandwidth result in immediate losses. To maintain its valuation of $18 billion, KelingAI needs to optimize costs (e.g., by reducing AI inference fees) and find profitable B2B use cases (such as custom video services for film studios).

What Are the Key Terms of the Deal?

  • Management Control: CEO Gai Kun holds 10 times the voting rights in certain shares (up to 4%), ensuring he can drive strategy, though this will expire after his departure;
  • Employee Incentives: 15% of the shares are set aside as incentives for key personnel, including Kuaishou founder Cheng Yixiao and KelingAI’s chairman Gai Kun, with a lock-up period of three years to prevent talent loss;
  • Business Protection: Kuaishou promises not to enter the same video generation model business within five years, giving KelingAI a competitive advantage;
  • Investor Protections: If KelingAI fails to go public on time, investors can exit with their principal and interest, reducing their risk.

What Are KelingAI’s Chances of Success?

Despite the challenges, KelingAI has several advantages:

  • Financial Resources: The $3 billion will cover its current annual losses (about $260 million) for 3–5 years, providing ample time for development and market exploration;
  • Industry Partnerships: Investors like Alibaba Cloud and Huace Film & Television can offer valuable resources and support;
  • Differentiation Opportunities: While ByteDance’s Seedance may focus on consumer users, KelingAI can target B2B markets (film production, advertising) or innovate in resolution and effect quality, creating a unique competitive edge.

In summary, the spin-off and financing give KelingAI the opportunity to thrive. However, its success will depend on its technological capabilities and ability to commercialize its products. This is just the beginning of a long journey for KelingAI.