虎嗅

Discounted private placements: An arbitrage strategy that has been around for over a decade is about to shut down.

原文:折价定增,一门存在十几年的套利生意要关张了

Summary of Key Points

Recently, the A-share market has seen two significant developments: First, on July 6, 2026, the new trading rules implemented by the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing Stock Exchanges took effect (for example, the price limit for risk warning stocks was increased from 5% to 10%, and after-hours fixed-price trading was extended to all A-share stocks and ETFs). Second, on July 3, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) solicited opinions on revisions to the refinancing rules, with a focus on "shelf registration" (one-time registration for multiple financings) and "market-based pricing" (private placements set at the market price on the day of issuance). In the two days prior, the STAR 50 index plummeted by 7.7% due to Meta's plans to sell excess AI computing power, which challenged the assumption that computing power would always be in short supply. These refinancing rule changes aim to make financing more flexible for companies while addressing loopholes for arbitrage and regulating the use of funds, thereby aligning with the actual needs of enterprises and the market's capacity.

I. What Have the Refinancing Rules Changed? Flexibility Increased + Arbitrage Restrictions Strengthened

The revisions include both easing and tightening measures:

Easing Measures (Making Financing More Convenient):

1. Shelf Registration: Companies can register a financing amount once and issue it multiple times within two years, with the first issuance needing to be completed within one year. This is like obtaining a "credit card" that can be used at any time within two years, eliminating the need for repeated approval processes for each financing.

2. Increased Limits for Small-scale Financing: The upper limit for small-scale financings in Shanghai and Shenzhen has been raised from 300 million yuan to 600 million yuan, and for large companies with net assets over 10 billion yuan, it has been increased to 1 billion yuan; in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it has been raised from 100 million yuan to 200 million yuan. This allows companies to access funds quickly for emergencies or small projects without long waiting periods.

3. Simplified Private Placements for Controlling Shareholders: As long as there is no serious misconduct, major shareholders can more easily use their own funds to purchase company stock, providing direct support for the business.

Tightening Measures (Preventing Arbitrage and Managing Risks):

1. Market-based Pricing: All private placements must be priced at the market price on the day of issuance, eliminating the possibility of pre-locking prices that could lead to arbitrage if the stock price rises later.

2. Extended Lock-up Periods for Controlling Shareholders: The lock-up period for shares purchased by major shareholders has been extended from 18 months to 36 months, preventing short-term cashouts.

3. Financing Intervals and Debt Repayment Requirements: The intervals between convertible bonds and private placements have been aligned, and companies must consider their debt repayment capabilities when seeking financing (to avoid using new funds to repay old debts).

4. Funds Must Be Used for Core Business: Raised funds can only be used for the company's main operations and cannot be misappropriated for stock trading or unrelated investments.

II. Why is Market-based Pricing the Key Change? Ending a Decade of Arbitrage

The biggest issue with private placements in the past was arbitrage based on pre-set prices. For example, if a company set the price at 8 yuan before the issuance and the stock price later rose to 15 yuan, participants could buy at 8 yuan and make a 7-yuan profit upon unlocking their shares, leading to potential conflicts of interest. This year, private placements have accounted for 95% of total refinancing (371.9 billion yuan), highlighting this problem. With market-based pricing, the price of private placements will be nearly identical to the market price on the day of issuance, eliminating arbitrage opportunities. Investment banks suggest that this change transforms private placements from an arbitrage game in a "pre-market" environment into a genuine expression of investor interest in the company's performance. Nearly 40 companies have voluntarily canceled their pre-set prices and adopted market-based pricing in June, indicating that the market had anticipated these changes.

III. Who Benefits from Shelf Registration? Semiconductor and Computing Power Companies

Shelf registration allows for flexible financing based on actual needs. Industries such as semiconductors and computing power require continuous investment in production lines; setting a large amount of capital at once might result in unused funds (for example, raising 1 billion yuan but only using 300 million yuan, with the remaining 700 million idle in banks). Shelf registration enables companies to finance in smaller amounts as needed, ensuring efficiency and avoiding waste. Regulators also note that this approach reduces the impact of large-scale financings on the market (e.g., a sudden 10-billion-yuan financing could cause a sharp drop in stock prices). For technology companies that need ongoing investment, this is a tailored financing tool.

IV. How Does This Compare to the 2015 Private Placement Boom?

In 2015, there was a "Internet+" boom, with market-wide gains driven by speculation. Companies with net assets of only 2.8 billion yuan sought to raise 80 billion yuan through private placements, exploiting price discounts, pre-set prices, and hidden off-exchange leverage. Today, the focus is on AI-related sectors, but the market is more differentiated (e.g., the storage industry has seen strong gains while bank stocks have performed poorly). The new market-based pricing rules link financing to secondary market prices, making it easier to finance when stock prices are high and harder when they are low, acting like a "automatic gate" that regulates market activity. The risk has shifted from hidden leverage issues to transparent market adjustments, preventing sudden collapses.

V. The Significance of the New Rules: More Fair and Effective Financing

The introduction of these new rules comes at a time when the STAR 50 index has experienced significant declines, serving both to regulate the market and guide capital flow. On one hand, they address arbitrage loopholes, returning private placements to their purpose of supporting corporate development. On the other hand, they provide flexible financing options for technology companies that need long-term investment in core areas such as semiconductors and computing power. In the long run, these changes aim to reshape the benefits structure of the private placement market, making it more stable and avoiding extreme fluctuations.

Overall, the new rules are a balance between flexibility (enabling smoother financing for companies) and fairness (preventing arbitrage and wasteful spending). For individual investors, there will be greater transparency in private placements, reducing the risk of being exploited. For companies, only those with genuine funding needs will have access to flexible capital, while those seeking to profit through arbitrage will face greater challenges.