虎嗅

The overall situation of China's shipbuilding industry: This important town in central Jiangsu is being "re-evaluated."

原文:中国造船大局,这座苏中重镇正被“重估”

Summary of Key Points

Against the backdrop of a global recovery in the shipbuilding industry, China's shipbuilding sector has led the world for 16 consecutive years, with Jiangsu province maintaining its position as the largest shipbuilding hub. As one of Jiangsu's three major shipbuilding bases, Yangzhou has achieved remarkable results in recent years in terms of ship exports, completions, and orders. However, it continues to be constrained by the issue of relying on imported marine engines, which represent a critical component of ships (accounting for 10%-15% of total costs) and are monopolized by international giants. Recently, Yangzhou signed a deal with COSCO Shipping for a marine engine project worth 5 billion yuan, addressing this bottleneck and aiming to move beyond the "hull economy" towards building a shipbuilding and offshore engineering cluster worth hundreds of billions of yuan, in order to achieve its goal of a GDP of one trillion yuan (Yangzhou's current GDP is 805.6 billion yuan, with a gap of 194.3 billion yuan; Yancheng is only 11 billion yuan behind).

I. Yangzhou's Shipbuilding Industry: A Star Performance Among the Nation's Leaders

Yangzhou's shipbuilding industry has seen a surge during this global recovery:

  • Record-high exports: In the first half of this year, 61 new ships were exported, a year-on-year increase of 38.6%, placing it among the top in the country.
  • Rapid capacity expansion: By 2025, the city's shipbuilding output is expected to reach 7.71 million deadweight tons, accounting for 14.36% of the national total (meaning one in every ten ships produced in China will be from Yangzhou), with Jiangsu leading in the number of new ships built.
  • Orders for the next five years: Most shipyards have orders booked through 2028-2030, and the volume of new orders received in January-April has doubled year-on-year, indicating strong market demand. These figures demonstrate that Yangzhou's shipbuilding industry is among the largest and most competitive in the country, although it also faces the challenge of being "large but not strong."

II. The Biggest Concern: The Embarrassing "Hull Economy" – The Limitation of Relying on Imported Engines

Marine engines are the heart of a ship (valuing hundreds of millions of yuan and accounting for 10%-15% of costs), yet Yangzhou and Jiangsu have long relied on imports:

  • Weak supply chain: The Yangzhou Municipal Bureau of Industry and Information Technology acknowledges that local shipbuilders have traditionally adopted a "buy-and-use" approach, relying on imported power systems, control systems, and navigation technologies, resulting in low profits and an unstable supply chain.
  • Clear gap compared to Nantong: Nantong's shipbuilding industry has a output value of over 220 billion yuan, while Yangzhou's is only 51.4 billion yuan, with the main difference being the completeness of its supply chain.
  • International competition forces innovation: With the global trend towards green shipbuilding (e.g., methanol dual-fuel engines), without mastering core technologies, China will lose its influence in the market.

III. The Key to Breaking This Limitation: Partnering with COSCO Shipping to Fill the Supply Gap

The deal with COSCO Shipping for the marine engine project is a crucial step towards strengthening Yangzhou's supply chain:

  • Project details: The investment amounts to about 5 billion yuan, and upon completion, it will produce 80-120 methanol dual-fuel and clean energy engines annually, addressing Yangzhou's shortage of core components.
  • Why COSCO Shipping? COSCO Shipping is a leading company in the industry, with nine shipyards capable of building various types of ships, ensuring reliable technical expertise.
  • Achieving goals ahead of schedule: Yangzhou originally planned to reach an output value of 50 billion yuan by 2026 but achieved this goal in 2025, indicating a solid industrial foundation and significant potential for further growth.

IV. Can the Shipbuilding Industry Accelerate the Journey to a GDP of One Trillion Yuan?

Yangzhou is still short of a trillion yuan in GDP, and the shipbuilding industry plays a crucial role:

  • Fierce competition: Yancheng's GDP is only 11 billion yuan behind Yangzhou's, and it could overtake it at any time; Xuzhou and Shaoxing have already surpassed Yangzhou, creating a sense of urgency.
  • Strong driving force for the economy: The shipbuilding industry is linked to dozens of other sectors, such as steel, machinery, and electronics (each LNG ship requires 5.5 million parts), potentially boosting the growth of the entire supply chain.
  • Leading growth rates: Yangzhou's shipbuilding and offshore engineering industry grew by 29.2% from January to May this year, ranking first among 13 industrial chains, contributing significantly to the regional GDP. If a cluster worth hundreds of billions of yuan can be successfully established, Yangzhou's chances of reaching a trillion-dollar GDP will greatly increase.

Conclusion

Yangzhou has seized the opportunity of the global recovery in the shipbuilding industry, but to become truly strong, it must overcome its reliance on imported technologies. The implementation of this marine engine project is a critical step that will not only enhance the industry's autonomy but also provide a powerful boost towards achieving its GDP goal. With the right strategies and execution, Yangzhou has the potential to ride the wave of success.