第一财经

Guangzhou and Shenzhen both saw GDP growth of 5.8% in the first half of the year, highlighting the resilience of high-tech industries and modern service sectors.

原文:广深上半年GDP齐增5.8%,高新技术与现代服务业凸显韧性

Summary of Key Points

Both Guangzhou and Shenzhen experienced GDP growth of 5.8% in the first half of the year, but their industrial structures differ: Guangzhou's tertiary industry (services) grew slightly faster than its secondary industry (manufacturing), while Shenzhen saw a more significant increase in the secondary sector. Both cities are focusing on new drivers of growth (emerging industries and high-tech fields), with investment shifting towards these sectors. The service industry and foreign trade have also performed well, although they face different challenges—Guangzhou lacks large-scale industrial chain leaders, while Shenzhen needs to strengthen its industrial chains. Additionally, as core engines of the Greater Bay Area, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are promoting industrial cooperation with surrounding cities.

1. Similar GDP Growth Rates, but Different Industrial Strengths

Although both cities had a 5.8% GDP increase, their internal industrial structures vary:

  • Guangzhou: The service industry is stronger, with the tertiary sector growing by 5.9% (compared to 5.6% in the secondary sector), indicating that Guangzhou's business, finance, culture, and tourism sectors are developing more rapidly.
  • Shenzhen: Manufacturing is more robust, with the secondary sector growing by 6.4% (higher than the tertiary sector's 5.5%), especially in the industrial sector, where the added value of large-scale industries increased by 8.7%, which is higher than Guangzhou's 6.6%.

In summary, Guangzhou excels in services, while Shenzhen has a strong manufacturing base.

2. Emerging Industries Drive Growth

Both cities are betting on emerging industries, which are growing much faster than the overall economy:

  • Shenzhen: There has been a surge in the production of high-tech products—3D printing equipment increased by 58.1%, industrial robots by 43.9%, and lithium batteries by 25.5%, all of which are key products for future industries.
  • Guangzhou: New energy vehicles have driven growth in related sectors, with production increasing by 53.2%, leading to corresponding increases in lithium battery (53.9%) and intelligent vehicle equipment (40.6%) production; the integrated circuit manufacturing industry also saw a sharp rise of 73.9%, as did analog chips and service robots.

These developments show that Guangzhou and Shenzhen are transitioning from traditional industries to high-tech sectors.

3. Targeted Investment in New Sectors

Despite overall investment declines in Shenzhen, both cities have invested heavily in new industries:

  • Guangzhou: Investments in high-tech manufacturing increased by 29.5%, computer electronics by 38.9%, and information services by 35.6%—focusing on nurturing future potential industries.
  • Shenzhen: Overall investment decreased by 14.6% (mainly due to the real estate sector), but investments in information services soared by 140.9%, scientific research by 43.1%, and high-tech industries by 27.4%—indicating a shift away from reliance on real estate and towards technology and innovation.

In other words, the investment is being directed towards areas with real potential for growth.

4. Strong Performance in Services and Foreign Trade

Traditional sectors are also performing well:

  • Guangzhou's Service Industry: Revenue from large-scale service businesses increased by 12.3%, with AI-related software development (13.8%) and internet information services (20%) growing the fastest; the entertainment industry grew by 14.5%, and the financial sector supported small and medium-sized enterprises through increased micro-loans (30.3%).
  • Shenzhen's Foreign Trade: Imports and exports surged by 33%, with imports increasing by 59.8% (a 90.8% increase in June alone), and high-tech product exports growing by 26.4%—indicating that Shenzhen's high-tech products are popular in international markets. The significant increase in imports may be due to the need for more advanced components.

5. Challenges and Collaboration: Guangzhou and Shenzhen Need to Address Weaknesses and Work Together

Both cities have room for improvement and must collaborate with other cities within the Greater Bay Area:

  • Guangzhou's Challenges: Despite nurturing many small companies, it lacks large-scale industrial leaders like Huawei and Tencent that can drive the entire industry, and its international influence is not strong enough.
  • Shenzhen's Challenges: It needs to overcome bottlenecks in high-tech development, strengthen its industrial chains, and help neighboring cities such as Dongguan and Huizhou upgrade their industries.
  • Greater Bay Area Collaboration: Guangzhou and Shenzhen should lead in research and finance, while other cities like Dongguan and Huizhou can provide support in areas such as electronics and AI assembly. The western part of the Pearl River Delta (Foshan, Zhongshan) can modernize traditional industries, and Hong Kong and Macau can facilitate technology transfer and international services.

Overall, both Guangzhou and Shenzhen have made steady progress economically, with emerging industries being a key driver of growth. However, they still need to address their weaknesses and work together through the Greater Bay Area to achieve greater breakthroughs. For the general public, this means that both cities are moving towards high-tech and high-quality development, offering more job opportunities in emerging industries in the future.