虎嗅

The value of Changxin goes beyond 3 trillion yuan; only by getting involved can you truly understand its potential.

原文:长鑫的价值不止3万亿,上了车才是真的

Core Summary

A chip storage company that has been established for only 10 years saw its stock price soar by 400% on its first day of trading, attracting significant investment from several automakers. The key to this success lies in the fact that its storage chips are perfectly positioned for the trend of automotive intelligence. They are not only seen as a promising growth opportunity by the market but also considered an essential component for ensuring “supply chain security” by automakers.

1. Stock Price Surge of 400%: What is the Market Betting On?

The stock price quadrupling is not due to the company’s current earnings but rather investors’ confidence in its future potential for substantial profits. Firstly, the storage chip industry is on the rebound after years of declining prices; the demand for storage solutions in smartphones and cars has increased, driving up prices. Secondly, the company’s focus on automotive-grade storage chips (specifically designed for use in vehicles) aligns with the current hot trend of automotive intelligence, which makes it an attractive investment. Additionally, the “new stock effect” at the time of listing contributed to the surge in price, as new shares are more susceptible to speculation and capital accumulation.

2. Automakers Investing Collectively: Fear of Being Strangled by Shortages, Desire to Seize the Future

Why would automakers invest in a chip company? The main motivations are concerns about supply chain reliability and future market opportunities:

  • Fear of Chip Shortages: Everyone remembers the shortage of automotive chips in previous years. Storage chips are crucial for intelligent vehicles, as they store data for autonomous driving and other functions. Automakers don’t want to be dependent on suppliers that could disrupt their operations. By investing in stable chip providers, they can secure a steady supply.
  • Seizing Industry Benefits: The demand for storage in intelligent vehicles is expected to grow, especially with the advancement of autonomous technology. Investing in this company ensures access to chips and potential profits as it develops. It’s essentially like getting “chips along with equity,” a low-risk investment.

3. The Company’s Competitive Edge: The “Ticket” to the Automotive Grade Storage Market

Being recognized by automakers within just 10 years indicates its expertise. Ordinary storage chips are not suitable for automotive use due to the harsh environments (high temperatures, vibrations, dust), requiring high reliability (operating in temperatures ranging from -40°C to 125°C). The company likely holds certifications such as ISO 26262 for functional safety and can produce chips that meet automotive standards. Its partnerships with several automakers further demonstrate the quality of its products.

4. The Storage Chip Industry’s Recovery: From a Downturn to Growth

The storage chip industry is experiencing a turnaround. Global giants like Samsung and Micron have reduced production, leading to price increases. Meanwhile, demand from various sectors (smartphones, intelligent vehicles, data centers) is surging. The company’s listing coincides with this upward trend, earning it a higher market valuation.

5. Risks Behind the Surge: Beyond the Excitement

While the 400% increase in stock price is attractive, there are potential risks:

  • Speculation: Much of the surge is due to short-term interest; investors may lose interest once the hype fades, leading to a price correction.
  • Cyclical Nature: The storage chip industry is volatile, with prices fluctuating based on market conditions.
  • Fierce Competition: If more companies enter the automotive-grade chip market, the company’s competitive advantage could diminish. Investors should evaluate the company’s actual performance to ensure its value aligns with the stock price.

In summary, this company’s success stems from a combination of favorable industry trends, strong demand, and a reliable supply chain. However, investments in such companies always come with higher risks.