第一财经

AI storage chips drove a more than thousand-fold increase in Samsung Electronics' profits in the second quarter, yet its market value has still declined by 40% from its peak.

原文:AI存储芯片独撑三星电子二季度营利增超千倍,市值仍比峰值跌去四成

Summary of Key Points

Samsung Electronics reported record-breaking financial results for the second quarter of 2026: Revenue and operating profit soared by 130% and 1813.8% year-on-year, respectively, mainly driven by the increased demand and prices for its AI-based storage chips. However, the company's business performance is highly uneven. The semiconductor division generated over 99% of the total profits, while the mobile and home appliance segments incurred losses. Paradoxically, despite the excellent financial results, the company's market value has dropped by 40% from its peak in June due to factors such as the early realization of market expectations, concerns about the peak of the AI chip cycle, and the drag from non-core businesses.

The Secret to the Explosive Growth: AI Storage Chips as a Profit Generator

Samsung's second-quarter profits were almost entirely attributed to its semiconductor division (DS), particularly its storage chips. The surge in demand for high-speed storage from servers, driven by the AI boom, combined with insufficient supply, led to both increased prices and sales:

  • Volume: Samsung's share of server storage chip revenue reached a record high. High-performance HBM4 (specialized AI memory) was shipped in large quantities, and samples of the more advanced HBM4E were also provided.
  • Prices: There is a global shortage of storage chips, resulting in soaring prices for DRAM (memory) and SSD (solid-state drives).
  • Result: The semiconductor division's profit for the quarter amounted to 89.2 trillion Korean won, nearly equaling the company's total profit of 89.5 trillion won—equivalent to nearly 1 billion yuan per day.

A Divided Business Performance: Semiconductor Division Soars, While Other Segments Struggle

Samsung's business operations are like a seesaw, with one side (semiconductors) thriving and the other (mobile and home appliances) struggling:

  • Profitable Segments: In addition to semiconductors, the display panel division (Samsung Display) earned 700 billion Korean won (only 1/127 of the semiconductor division's profit), and the automotive division (Harman) made 400 billion won.
  • Lossy Segments: The mobile and home appliance division (DX) lost a combined total of 800 billion Korean won. High costs are a major factor; although flagship smartphones sold well, rising component prices eroded profits. For home appliances, TV sales increased due to sports events, but costs also rose, and the demand for white goods (such as air conditioners) grew, yet profits were offset by higher costs.

In short, Samsung's semiconductor division is the main driver of growth, while other segments are holding back the company's overall performance.

Why Isn't the Stock Price Moving Up Despite Strong Performance?

Despite record-breaking results, the market value has dropped by 40% from its June peak for three main reasons:

1. Early Realization of Expectations: The market was already aware that AI storage would generate significant profits for Samsung, so stock prices had already risen before the financial report was released. Once the report confirmed these expectations, investors sold their shares, believing the good news was already priced in.

2. Cycle Concerns: Investors are worried that investment in AI chips may have reached its peak, and if future demand fails to meet supply, prices could plummet (the semiconductor industry is known for its volatile cycles).

3. Drag from Non-Core Businesses: The continuous losses of the mobile and home appliance divisions raise concerns about their ability to sustain the company's long-term growth.

4. Overall Market Volatility in South Korea: The recent sharp decline in the KOSPI index (a 29% drop) and margin calls by leveraged retail investors have also affected Samsung's stock price.

Future Directions: Focusing on AI and Premium Products

Samsung plans to continue benefiting from the AI trend and revitalize its loss-making businesses:

  • Semiconductors: The company will focus on high-value-added products like HBM4E and DDR5 (next-generation memory) and start mass-producing 2-nanometer chips in the second half of the year.
  • Display Panels: It will increase production of 8.6th-generation OLED panels for markets with high demand for premium displays, such as tablets, gaming devices, and automobiles.
  • Mobile Devices: Samsung will integrate more AI features into its products (e.g., foldable smartphones) and launch smart glasses, while improving internal efficiency to reduce costs.
  • Home Appliances: It aims to sell more AI-enabled appliances (e.g., air conditioners with automatic temperature control) and offer value-added services through TV content and advertising.

Hidden Risks: Cycle Vulnerabilities and Governance Issues

Samsung's current reliance on the semiconductor division poses two major risks:

1. Cycle Reversal: If demand for AI-related products slows down or there is an oversupply of storage chips, prices could plummet, affecting Samsung's profits.

2. Internal Governance: Although the previous strike issues have been resolved, the significant disparity in bonuses (up to 100 times between semiconductor and non-semiconductor departments) may lead to employee dissatisfaction and affect team cohesion.

In summary, while Samsung's performance is strong due to AI storage chips, it faces several potential challenges that could impact its long-term success.