第一财经

National electricity consumption reaches a new all-time high

原文:全国用电负荷再创新高

Summary of Key Points

Recently, the national electricity demand has repeatedly reached record highs, driven by two main factors: first, the continuous economic recovery, with strong demand for electricity in industrial production (especially high-tech manufacturing and new growth industries) and the service sector; second, the three rounds of hot weather this year, which have led to a surge in electricity consumption for cooling purposes. Major economic provinces such as Guangdong and regions in the west have seen significant increases in electricity usage. The National Energy Administration has stated that it will ensure adequate power supply during the peak summer period, and in extreme cases, cross-provincial power transfers can be used to address any shortages.

Detailed Analysis

1. Repeated Records for Electricity Demand

The national electricity demand has surpassed all previous records: On August 7th, the national electricity load reached a new high of 1.557 billion kilowatts (equivalent to 1.557 billion 1-kilowatt air conditioners running simultaneously), an increase of 4.8 million kilowatts from the previous record. Since July 29th, except for weekends and holidays, the daily maximum electricity load has exceeded last year's peak of 1.508 billion kilowatts. This year, six regional power grids (such as North China and East China) have broken records 21 times, and 25 provinces (including Beijing, Jiangsu, Sichuan, etc.) have set new highs a total of 78 times—in other words, electricity usage in many places across the country has surpassed previous maximum levels.

2. Economic Recovery as the Main Driver of Increased Electricity Demand

A stronger economy naturally leads to higher electricity consumption. In the first half of this year, the overall electricity demand increased by 5.3%, mainly due to the following sectors:

  • Industrial Production: The electricity consumption in the secondary industry (factories and manufacturing) rose by 5.1%, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing (such as chip and advanced equipment production) seeing a growth of 9.8%;
  • Service Sector: The electricity consumption in the tertiary industry increased by 8%, with electric vehicle charging services growing by 56.9% and internet data services (data centers) by 44% (both representing new economic activities).

Taking Guangdong as an example, the province's monthly electricity consumption exceeded 100 billion kilowatt-hours in July, with industrial electricity being the main contributor. From January to July, industrial electricity usage increased by 7.84%, automotive manufacturing by 18.32%, and specialized equipment (such as medical devices) by 14.48%. The rapid growth in electricity consumption from new industries indicates that the economy is gaining momentum.

3. Hot Weather Exacerbating the Situation

This year's hot weather has directly contributed to the surge in electricity demand, with three distinct periods of high temperatures:

  • Early High Temperatures in Late May: The southern regions experienced early heat, leading to four record-breaking electricity usage peaks;
  • Sudden Heat in Mid-July: After a typhoon, central and eastern China became hot, causing another rapid increase in electricity load and three national records;
  • Protracted High Temperatures in Northeast and North China in Early August: These two regions experienced several days of high temperatures, resulting in ten record-breaking electricity usage peaks.

During hot weather, air conditioning accounts for more than half of residential electricity consumption. Additionally, the cooling needs of shopping malls and offices further increase the overall demand.

4. Regional Highlights in Electricity Usage

  • Guangdong: Not only did the province's monthly electricity consumption exceed 100 billion kilowatt-hours, but data center usage also increased significantly—increasing by 19.76% from January to July. The national data center cluster in Shaoguan (the only one in South China) saw a 317.9% increase in electricity usage in the first seven months of this year, due to the high demand for computing power in areas like artificial intelligence and cloud computing.
  • West Region: The five northwestern provinces experienced an increase in electricity consumption of over 7% in July, while Sichuan, Chongqing, and Tibet all saw increases of over 12%. This indicates that the western economy is also developing rapidly, with industries such as manufacturing in Sichuan and the electronics industry in Chongqing, as well as infrastructure construction in Tibet, driving electricity demand.

5. Adequate Power Supply for Summer

The National Energy Administration is prepared to handle the peak summer period:

  • It will closely monitor changes in electricity load and prioritize ensuring power supply for essential services (such as homes, hospitals, and schools) during extreme heat;
  • Overall, there is enough power supply for the summer season. Only some provinces in East China, Central China, and the south may face shortages during extreme heat, but cross-provincial power transfers can be used to address these issues (for example, transferring power from the northwest to East China).

In summary, the increase in electricity demand is both a sign of economic improvement and a reflection of the impact of hot weather. The national measures in place will ensure that everyone has access to adequate electricity supply. Is it easy to understand now?