虎嗅

"Manus has become independent, but has missed the optimal window for utilizing Agent services."

原文:Manus独立了,却错过了Agent窗口期

Summary of Key Points

Manus is an AI Agent company founded by a Chinese team. It gained sudden fame in March 2025 due to a demonstration video with an overseas style, followed by a series of events including fundraising, relocation to Singapore, and an acquisition bid from Meta for $2-3 billion. However, the acquisition was halted by Chinese regulations, and the company was eventually bought back by its existing investors such as Tencent and ZhenFund, regaining its independence. The past year has been tumultuous, reflecting the frenzy of traffic, capital pressures, regulatory challenges, and the rapid changes in the AI industry.

Detailed Analysis

1. Sudden Fame: Traffic as Both Honey and a Curse

Manus exploded in popularity when it released an English demonstration video in March 2025, demonstrating its ability to use tools, write code, and complete tasks independently—right at the time when the domestic AI community was searching for the “next DeepSeek.” The invitation codes for the video were sold for tens of thousands of yuan, and the company’s website crashed from the high demand. But with the fame came problems:

  • Unprepared Team: The founders, Xiao Hong (focusing on product sales) and Ji Yichao (the technical lead), had a clear division of roles, but the sudden surge in attention disrupted their balance due to external capital and public opinion pressures.
  • Loss of Control over Reputation: External doubts about the company’s business model and “hunger marketing” strategies led to even more scrutiny, putting the team in the spotlight.

2. Relocation Overseas: A Reluctant Move

After the success, Manus made a bold decision to move its headquarters to Singapore and lay off most of its domestic employees. This was driven by dual pressures:

  • Capital Requirements: The leading investor, Benchmark Fund, demanded that Manus focus on overseas markets and eliminate its domestic operations.
  • Regulatory Concerns: China did not want a large number of AI professionals to leave the country. However, the relocation process was complex: Singapore’s visa quotas were limited, and internal communications were chaotic (a last-minute Sunday meeting failed to stabilize the team). The company’s core technology relied on Ji Yichao, whose willingness to stay in Singapore was uncertain, making the move more like a “flight” than a normal relocation.

3. Acquisition by Meta: A Brief “Perfect Ending,” but a Regulatory Setback

In December 2025, Manus reported generating over $100 million in annual revenue (ARR exceeding $100 million), and 12 days later, Meta announced its acquisition for $2-3 billion. It seemed like a perfect outcome, with the founders claiming they could continue to operate independently within Meta. However, issues arose quickly:

  • Chinese Regulatory Intervention: In January 2026, the Ministry of Commerce launched an investigation, and in April, the National Development and Reform Commission ordered the acquisition to be canceled. The reason was sensitive: Manus’ core talent and technology were Chinese-owned, and the cross-border acquisition touched on the sensitive issue of AI technology transfer, which aligns with the Sino-US technological rivalry.
  • Acquisition Process: Meta began to isolate Manus, preventing its employees from using its technology, forcing the founding team to negotiate a buyback with their investors in secrecy.

4. Return to Independence: Freedom, but a Changing Industry

On August 11, Manus announced its independence, but things were not as simple as before:

  • Changing Industry Landscape: In the past eight months, companies like OpenAI and Google had integrated Agent functions into their products, and open-source tools (such as OpenClaw) made it easier for individuals to use Agents. Manus’ unique features from March 2025 no longer seemed innovative.
  • Impact of Meta’s Presence: During the acquisition, Manus was forced to align its products with Meta’s strategic goals, losing control over their development priorities. Although independent now, whether users will continue to support it is uncertain.

5. Lessons Learned: An Extreme Case for AI Startups

Manus’ experience serves as a cautionary tale:

  • The Double-edged Sword of Traffic: Rapid success can attract capital but also exposes companies to increased regulatory and public scrutiny.
  • Overseas Expansion Requires Solid Foundations: Unlike Genspark, which grew naturally overseas, Manus faced additional challenges due to its Chinese background, including organizational, talent, and regulatory issues.
  • Risks in Sino-US Relations: The cross-border flow of AI technology and talent is a critical factor that startups must consider from the outset.

Manus’ story highlights the opportunities and challenges of AI entrepreneurship: while success can be swift, it also exposes companies to significant risks. Whether Manus can recover its former popularity and keep up with industry trends remains to be seen.