虎嗅

Why can't 300 million elderly people support a giant silver-haired (elderly-related) chain company?

原文:为什么3亿老年人,撑不起一个银发连锁巨头?

Summary of Key Points

Recently, the cultural and tourism industries have shifted their focus from attracting college students to retirees, targeting the "health and wellness travel" market. Retirees who stay for extended periods are more capable of boosting the local economy than short-term visitors. Although the elderly population represents a large potential market (expected to reach 9 trillion yuan by 2025), it remains challenging to develop national-level brands. The main obstacles include the significant disparity in spending power among retirees, the heavy reliance on offline services that are difficult to replicate across regions, and the fact that what retirees truly need is companionship and social interaction, rather than luxury facilities. The essence of this market lies in building long-term relationships of trust.

1. Attracting Retirees Is Not About Showing Respect; They Are More Profitable Than Short-Term Visitors

The sudden interest in attracting retirees for retirement purposes is driven by clear economic benefits: A retiree staying for two to three months generates much more revenue than a visitor who stays for just one or two nights. While short-term visitors mainly spend money on hotels and tourist attractions, retirees engage in various activities that activate multiple industries such as accommodation, dining, healthcare, and domestic services. For example, Jilin plans to add 30,000 new health and wellness beds by 2028 with 10 billion yuan in funding; Yunnan has made this a priority, aiming to attract nearly one million retirees over the age of 60 by 2025; and Panzhihua's health and wellness industry has been a significant contributor to the local economy for years. As of June this year, 16 provinces and cities have introduced policies aimed at tapping into the long-term spending power of retirees.

2. 300 Million Retirees Does Not Equal a 300-Million Market: Most Retirees Either Don't Have Money to Spend or Are Afraid to Spend It

Many mistakenly believe that the elderly market is vast, but this is a misconception. The spending power of retirees is highly uneven, following the "80/20 rule":

  • Those with Little Spending Power: 170 million rural retirees have an average monthly pension of just over 200 yuan, barely enough for basic expenses; 120 million retired employees receive an average monthly pension of over 3,000 yuan, but most need to support their children, limiting their spending.
  • Those Who Are Afraid to Spend: Even if they have savings, retirees tend to be frugal, saving money for emergencies or to help their children and are reluctant to spend on themselves.

Only about 20 million retirees with stable incomes (average monthly pension over 6,000 yuan) are truly willing to pay for health and wellness services, accounting for less than 10% of the total population. Data shows that 80% of retirees do not travel at all, and among those who do, 80% spend less than 5,000 yuan per year on travel; only 15.8% can afford monthly costs of over 3,000 yuan for retirement homes.

3. Why No National-Level Brands in the Elderly Market?

Despite years of discussion about the elderly market, there are no national brands like Alibaba's Taobao or Meixue Bingcheng. There are two main reasons:

1. Low Density of Potential Customers: Although aging populations are large in some regions, the number of retirees with significant spending power is dispersed, making it difficult to create a unified national market.

2. Heavy Dependence on Offline Services and Local Resources: Elderly services cannot be replicated easily like fast-food or technology products. For example, home healthcare services require knowledge of local hospitals, and care facilities need to meet the specific needs of retirees in their communities. The Dongli Retirement Club in Shanghai (with 3 million members and annual revenue of 1 billion yuan) can only expand to cities like Chongqing and Chengdu due to the concentration of wealthy and time-affluent retirees there and the availability of local resources.

4. The Secret to the Elderly Market: It's About Companionship, Social Interaction, and Building Communities

What retirees really need are not luxury villas but someone to accompany them, provide care, and help them make new friends. Hidden needs are more important than physical amenities. Many retirees feel lonely after retirement and seek opportunities to connect with like-minded people through travel or residency programs. For instance, Japan's Club Tourism, a leader in elderly tourism, maintains high customer loyalty (65% repurchase rate) through themed tours and regular community activities. Retirees buy the experience of traveling, not just the journey itself.

5. Trust Is Key to Long-Term Engagement

Building trust with retirees is crucial for sustained business success. If they feel confident that their needs are being met (clean meals, patient care, reliable facilities), they are more likely to return and recommend the services to others. The essence of the elderly market is about creating long-term relationships where retirees feel comfortable entrusting their retirement lives to a provider.

In conclusion, the elderly market is not about exploiting them but about identifying and engaging with those who have the means and time to spend on quality services. By providing companionship and social opportunities, businesses can truly tap into this valuable consumer group.