虎嗅

The subtitle team might be completely finished this time...

原文:字幕组这次可能要彻底死透了

Summary of Key Points

The subtitle teams, once known as "cultural ferrymen," are now facing multiple fatal blows: stricter copyright laws have made official subtitles the mainstream; the regulation of online file-sharing platforms and the fight against piracy have cut off the channels for resource distribution; and the emergence of AI has internally undermined their foundation for survival. AI not only enables smaller subtitle teams to produce content more quickly with fewer people but also causes larger teams to experience a crisis of trust due to its standardized language style. Additionally, the entire translation industry (including professional positions and university programs) has been impacted by AI. Although some small-language subtitle teams can still survive due to their rarity, most are on the decline, with only a few individuals remaining to find new meaning in their persistence.

I. Is AI a Saviour or a Killer? Small Teams Rely on It, Large Teams Are Disrupted

The impact of AI on subtitle teams is twofold:

  • A Lifesaver for Small Teams: Teams like Wang Shan's, consisting of just two people, use AI to process preliminary translations (producing 70-80% accurate results in half an hour), with the remaining difficult parts (such as incorrect pronouns or broken sentences) being carefully revised by humans. This allows these small teams, which were on the verge of stopping, to continue operating.
  • A Trust Crisis for Large Teams: In teams that insist on manual translation, many translators secretly use AI to translate entire texts (due to lack of pay and time). However, AI translations often contain errors—for example, "brother" might be translated as either "elder brother" or "younger brother," and "enjoy" might be interpreted as "relax and enjoy the meal" rather than "please eat slowly." The need for manual proofreading has doubled the workload and led to conflicts among team members, shattering the belief that humans are superior to machines.

II. Copyright and Regulation: Two Major Barriers to Subtitle Teams

AI is just the latest straw; earlier challenges came from copyright laws and policies:

  • Copyright Restrictions Cut Off Income Sources: Domestic platforms are purchasing large quantities of overseas copyrights (e.g., Netflix's new shows with official Chinese subtitles), and cinemas are showing more foreign films, leaving fewer works for subtitle teams to translate. Many subtitle teams have shifted from creating original translations to simply distributing existing official ones.
  • Regulations Cause Resource Disappearance: Starting in 2025, established subtitle teams (such as Yuanjian and Xiaowanju) ceased operations due to piracy issues, with their online accounts being banned and resource links deleted. Beibei, a member of one such team, faced significant pressure and had to stop working for one and a half months.

III. Is the Translation Industry in Decline? Fewer Jobs, Lower Fees, and Cuts to University Programs

The struggles of subtitle teams reflect the broader situation in the translation industry:

  • Decline in Professional Positions: Reports from Peking University and Zhaopin show a clear decrease in job listings for translators. The fee for translating short overseas dramas has dropped from 15 yuan per minute to 10 yuan, resulting in reduced income.
  • University Programs Canceled: From 2018 to 2022, 109 universities eliminated 28 foreign language-related programs. The University of Science and Technology of China (a top-tier institution) discontinued its English program, and the Communication University of China closed its translation program. Even the prestigious Monterey Institute of International Studies has gradually shut down due to financial issues. Translation programs have gone from being popular to becoming obsolete.

IV. Those Who Still Persist: Searching for a Place to Stand

Despite the industry's decline, some people are still committed:

  • Beibei's Transition: Beibei, who used to be a product manager, took over a struggling subtitle team out of her passion for translation. She broke down tasks into smaller pieces to minimize the burden on team members and continues to work, believing that "just because it once allowed some people to see a bigger world is enough."
  • Xiaowei's New Direction: The founder of a subtitle team, Xiaowei, is pursuing a master's degree in the UK, studying the intersection of AI and translation. He says, "The boats of the ferrymen are almost empty; I want to see how the bridges are built," seeking new directions in the age of AI.

These individuals are not resisting change but finding ways to remain relevant within it, preserving the original purpose of subtitle teams as cultural facilitators.

Conclusion

The decline of subtitle teams is a result of the combined effects of technological advancements (AI), changes in copyright laws, and market trends. They once filled a crucial role in cultural dissemination, but now official channels and AI can meet most needs. However, those subtitle teams that focus on manual quality editing and adding cultural annotations still have value—after all, AI cannot understand the emotional weight behind phrases like "the night bus from Sendai to Tokyo takes 5 hours" or "1.26 million yen equals 55,000 yuan." These aspects are precisely what make the work of cultural ferrymen so valuable. Perhaps in the future, subtitle teams will shift from mass translation to providing high-quality interpretive services, but their role in connecting people around the world will always be remembered by many.